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Live Updates

15

Aug 2026

中国二季度零售黄金投资在一季度见顶后大幅下滑，但上半年需求同比增长31%

尽管二季度中国零售实物金降至107吨，金额仍创新高；上半年需求同比+31%、黄金ETF净增29吨。增值税新政促买盘集中金条，机构看下半年需求约500吨，提振多头策略。

15

Aug 2026

三菱日联金融集团警告称：中国7月数据或主导人民币及亚洲外汇走势，央行在管理中间价压力之际

MUFG称二季度GDP偏弱后，7月活动数据将主导人民币及亚汇；若不及预期或压制风险偏好。央行强定价控波动，建议期权对冲并关注降息再定价。

15

Aug 2026

美元/日元徘徊于159.40附近，疲弱的美国市场情绪拖累美元，日元维持疲软

美元/日元159.40附近窄幅震荡！密歇根信心骤降压低美元，干预效应消退令日元更弱；隐波回落利好卖波动率策略，关键区间159.10–160.20。

15

Aug 2026

美元企稳，疲软的美国数据缓和美联储政策预期；投机性多头在会议纪要公布前增仓

美元指数重返100关口，通胀降温与数据走弱压低加息预期；但CFTC美元净多头显著抬升、季节性偏强临近，关注FOMC纪要，警惕阶段性反转与战术做多。

15

Aug 2026

美元/加元跌破1.4000关口，美元走弱；市场关注加拿大CPI及加拿大央行动向

美元/加元跌破1.4000并三周连跌，美元走弱与油价支撑加元。RSI超卖或现修复反弹，但CPI与BoC决议或放大波动，中期仍偏空。

15

Aug 2026

美元指数跌破99.50，疲弱零售销售降低美联储加息概率

消费端数据意外疲弱触发美元指数跌破99.50区间，两年期美债收益率下探；利率期货下调9月加息定价。后续关注FOMC纪要及PMI等数据。

15

Aug 2026

在地缘政治风险背景下，美国PPI走软削弱美联储加息预期，美元/新元企稳于1.28附近

美元/新元1.28附近窄幅震荡：美PPI走弱压低加息预期与美债收益率，但地缘风险抑制下行。技术指向区间，建议铁鹰收权利金，并以虚值看涨对冲上破。

15

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎自近期高位回落，空头旗形形态维持，期权交易员严阵以待波动加剧

USD/CHF 回调仍守0.8100，熊旗形态与RSI走平提示区间震荡。关注上破0.8150指向0.8207/0.8300，下破0.8103或试0.8079/0.8000；期权建议止损入场看涨、OTM看跌对冲及铁鹰收权利金。

15

Aug 2026

贝克休斯：美国石油钻机数量升至455座，钻探活动保持稳定

贝克休斯显示美国油钻机数周增1座至455座，活动边际回暖；效率支撑产量高位、供应偏充裕，WTI上行受限，期权宜区间策略并关注库存与肩部季需求。

14

Aug 2026

金价上涨，美元走软；疲软的美国数据打压美联储9月加息预期

美元走弱叠加美国零售、信心数据偏弱，金价升至4,386美元但未破4,400阻力；利率互换显示9月加息概率降至31%，央行增持提供底部支撑。

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