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Live Updates

15

Aug 2026

美元指数持续低于100点，因美国数据走软；市场关注转向美联储会议纪要及英国CPI数据

四连疲软数据压低DXY失守100，9月加息定价降温；聚焦FOMC纪要与英日中数据周。欧元走强、黄金逼近4400；期权布局汇率波动与油价地缘溢价。

15

Aug 2026

KOSPI反弹及外资流入提振韩元，美元/韩元自7月高点回落

KOSPI受科技股业绩提振自低点反弹29.5%，外资净买入19亿美元支撑韩元；USD/KRW回落至1,421。策略：买入看跌/做空期货，做多Kospi200，严控止损。

15

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者削减日元空头头寸，日元看跌押注降温

CFTC显示日元非商业净空头由-45.5K收窄至-42.1K，空头回补迹象增强。警惕流动性挤压与BOJ正常化预期升温，宜布局JPY看涨或USD/JPY看跌价差。

15

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者将黄金期货净多头持仓增至21.79万份合约

CFTC显示黄金非商业净多头增至21.79万手，投机资金加码强化看涨动能；金价约2450美元。关注期权牛市价差与回调做多，同时防美元反弹引发回撤。

15

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示，随着交易员削减看空押注，英镑净空头头寸略有回落

CFTC持仓揭示英镑空头回补：非商业净持仓由-57.8K收缩至-56.2K，偏空情绪边际缓和。关注GBP/USD 1.2750支撑，期权牛市价差把握反弹。

15

Aug 2026

美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）数据显示，原油投机者将净多头头寸降至9.92万手，释放看涨押注降温信号

CFTC显示原油非商业净多头降至99.2K，跌破10万关口释放观望信号；投机敞口收缩抬升波动与反转风险，警惕轧空反弹，宜采用期权有限风险布局。

15

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：标普500指数投机者转为净多头，季节性疲弱临近

CFTC显示标普500非商业净持仓由-27.3K反转至+11.3K，资金情绪转多或触发季节性弱势逆袭；建议以9月下旬牛市看涨价差参与上行。

15

Aug 2026

欧元/美元反弹回升，回测100日移动均线，多头反转风险升温

欧元/美元反弹测试100日SMA1.1567，收复1.1500抬升反转概率；上破看200日SMA1.1629及1.1685/1.1700。期权宜短期做多并以熊市价差对冲回撤。RSI改善。

15

Aug 2026

美国零售销售不及预期，汽油与新车推升总体增速，加息押注仍存

表观零售同比+5%实由油站贡献1.15pct“虚增”，剔油仅+4.2%逼近通胀且环比-0.6%不显著；汽油量约-7%、SNAP年化抽水近120亿，消费韧性裂缝或触发利率预期再定价。

15

Aug 2026

美元指数跌破100，财政赤字扩大，金价瞄准突破4,400美元

美元指数跌破100，尽管美债收益率高企；美国赤字攀至1.8万亿美元、利息支出超国防，市场押注美元稀释。黄金逆势坚挺，若站稳4400或触发衍生品加速行情。

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