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25

Aug 2026

亚洲央行政策分化：泰国料维持利率不变，韩国与菲律宾或上调利率

抓住亚洲央行分化：泰央行料维持1%致泰铢实际利率为负持续落后；韩央行或升至3%支撑韩元；菲央行或至5%防守比索、对冲油价冲击。

25

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索走软：通胀回升、经济增长不及预期及美国对伊朗制裁推升美元/墨西哥比索汇率

墨西哥比索走弱推动USD/MXN升至16.96；通胀回升、增长不及预期叠加美对伊朗“前所未有”制裁引发避险，隐含波动率或上行，关注17.33/17.37阻力与期权对冲。

25

Aug 2026

Strategy建立67亿美元流动性资金池，比特币增持暂停，ETF资金持续流入

Strategy（MSTR）ATM售股净募20.1亿美元，暂停增持BTC并构建66.9亿美元美元流动性池；BTC周涨逾20%、ETF净流入19.2亿美元，叠加PCE与MSCI剔除风险，波动或放大。

25

Aug 2026

美元企稳，避险资金流入增强，市场静待PCE数据、杰克逊霍尔年会及对伊朗制裁措施出台

美元受避险与美债走强小幅反弹，事件风险（伊朗制裁、PCE、杰克逊霍尔）或助短期修复；然DXY技术仍偏空、100附近或成硬顶，宜期权对冲与区间策略。

25

Aug 2026

美国7月财政赤字达4320亿美元，美国财政部“扭转操作”将长期国债回购与增加国库券发行相结合

美国7月赤字4323亿美元创阶段新高，本财年升至1.8万亿美元；短债融资推升利息负担，或重启“扭曲操作”短发长回，叠加高收益率与杠杆风险攀升。

25

Aug 2026

星展维持对美元/新元的谨慎立场，提示汇率或维持区间震荡，且跌破1.2750后下行偏向加剧

美元/新元跌破1.2700后，大华银行维持谨慎：短线料区间震荡1.2680-1.2715；中期偏空关注1.2670，反弹或受制1.2750，超卖或缓跌。

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· VTMarkets Ltd 注册于塞浦路斯共和国，注册号为 HE436466，注册地址为 Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus。

V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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