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25

Aug 2026

中国人民银行将人民币中间价定得弱于路透预期，释放容忍贬值以提振经济增长的信号

人民币中间价显著弱于市场估值，释放央行容忍温和贬值信号；宽松政策与资本外流或推升USD/CNY上行与波动率。建议短期限看涨、做多波动与远期对冲。

25

Aug 2026

在油价、美债收益率及中东紧张局势推动市场上调欧洲央行鹰派预期之际，欧元/美元小幅走高

欧元/美元回升至1.1670，油价与长端收益率高企推升欧元区通胀忧虑，市场押注欧央行9月再加息；美债回购与地缘风险扰动，期权跨式与美元看涨对冲波动。

25

Aug 2026

Electrum公司卡普兰预计，在央行购金支撑下，黄金将长期处于牛市行情，金价有望达到3万至5万美元

重磅观点：Kaplan预计黄金或十倍飙升至5万美元，称处结构性长周期牛市；央行年净购金超千吨叠加ETF净流入，回调或成加仓窗口，建议LEAPs布局。

25

Aug 2026

风险厌恶情绪推升避险资产，英镑/日元维持在217.00附近，交易员关注突破走势

英镑/日元围绕217震荡，地缘风险推升避险偏好压制汇价；RSI回升但受阻60。上破217或上看218-219；跌破216恐下探215及均线。衍生品宜备突破。

25

Aug 2026

亚洲央行政策分化：泰国料维持利率不变，韩国与菲律宾或上调利率

抓住亚洲央行分化：泰央行料维持1%致泰铢实际利率为负持续落后；韩央行或升至3%支撑韩元；菲央行或至5%防守比索、对冲油价冲击。

25

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索走软：通胀回升、经济增长不及预期及美国对伊朗制裁推升美元/墨西哥比索汇率

墨西哥比索走弱推动USD/MXN升至16.96；通胀回升、增长不及预期叠加美对伊朗“前所未有”制裁引发避险，隐含波动率或上行，关注17.33/17.37阻力与期权对冲。

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· VTMarkets Ltd 注册于塞浦路斯共和国，注册号为 HE436466，注册地址为 Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus。

V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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