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25

Aug 2026

法国消费者信心降至86，低于预期，拖累欧元及法国资产

法国8月消费者信心指数降至86不及预期87，情绪持续低迷且显著低于长期均值100，内需承压。关注CAC40防御、欧元偏弱及OAT-Bund利差走阔。

25

Aug 2026

卢比小幅走强，因印度央行抑制美元/印度卢比波动；霍尔木兹海峡原油风险仍令美元偏强格局不改

卢比小幅走强但受原油高企与对伊朗制裁升级扰动。RBI干预或暂控USD/INR于95.50–96；技术偏多，突破95.98或上看97.10，建议价差做多并对冲油价风险。

25

Aug 2026

美元跌破99.40走软，欧元上看1.18；美国PCE数据公布前美债收益率持稳

美元指数受制99.40，欧元、澳元偏强；美债收益率PCE前偏上行。股指多空分化，商品黄金与天然气看多。衍生品建议配置美元走弱与股指价差策略。

25

Aug 2026

金价持稳于4,650美元下方，美元走强；市场静待美国PCE数据及杰克逊霍尔会议信号

金价高位回撤守住4650美元，美元反弹引发获利了结；但美债突破40万亿美元与中东油供扰动推升“货币贬值交易”。聚焦PCE、Jackson Hole与4500支撑。

25

Aug 2026

中国人民银行将人民币中间价定得弱于路透预期，释放容忍贬值以提振经济增长的信号

人民币中间价显著弱于市场估值，释放央行容忍温和贬值信号；宽松政策与资本外流或推升USD/CNY上行与波动率。建议短期限看涨、做多波动与远期对冲。

25

Aug 2026

在油价、美债收益率及中东紧张局势推动市场上调欧洲央行鹰派预期之际，欧元/美元小幅走高

欧元/美元回升至1.1670，油价与长端收益率高企推升欧元区通胀忧虑，市场押注欧央行9月再加息；美债回购与地缘风险扰动，期权跨式与美元看涨对冲波动。

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V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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