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26

Aug 2026

美国7月核心PCE维持在3.3%，支撑市场对美联储政策保持稳定的预期

美国7月核心PCE同比3.3%持平并符合预期，通胀定价趋稳。市场风险溢价回落，短端隐含波动率或受压；关注卖波动率、区间期权及利率衍生品窄幅交易配置。

26

Aug 2026

美国国债收益率走低抑制波动性，利好套息交易；澳元受CPI走高推动上涨

贝森特干预后长端美债收益率下行、跨资产波动率回落，油价走软提振风险偏好。焦点转向PCE、7年期国债拍卖及杰克逊霍尔；美元指数受限回落，套息交易与澳元看涨期权受益。

26

Aug 2026

印度卢比关注更强劲的重启走势，因油价回落、收益率下行且杰克逊霍尔年会临近

节后印度卢比料强势重启：油价回落及霍尔木兹通航预期缓解进口成本，USD/INR或下探95.40；杰克逊霍尔讲话前宜对冲波动并布局空头。

26

Aug 2026

受霍尔木兹航道谈判及美国原油库存增加拖累，WTI原油跌势延续并跌破80美元

WTI跌破80美元至79.50，伊朗与阿曼磋商霍尔木兹通道令风险溢价回落；EIA或连续第四周累库强化供给过剩预期，策略偏空：期权做空、跨期价差博弈75支撑。

26

Aug 2026

市场静待英伟达财报出炉：季度营收或达1000亿美元，AI基础设施融资持续升温

英伟达财报夜临近：营收或冲刺千亿美元，期权隐波预示8%—10%剧震。更大看点在资产负债表转向AI基建融资，非流通证券飙至430亿美元，估值敏感度抬升。

26

Aug 2026

贝森特表态后美债收益率下滑：油价走低、美元走软，PCE数据与国债拍卖及沃什讲话前市场趋于谨慎

贝森特干预叠加油价回落推动美债长端收益率下行、波动率收敛并利好风险资产；聚焦PCE、7年期拍卖与沃什讲话，策略建议做空利率波动、配置DXY看跌、欧元与澳元多头及CNH渐进走强。

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