Live Updates

26

Aug 2026

英伟达财报发布在即，市场小幅走高；期权定价显示业绩超预期后市场反应或趋于温和

英伟达财报引发波动率预期升温，但市场对超预期敏感度下降；半导体回撤加剧。建议避贵价裸Call，转向指数期权信用利差/铁鹰，并以保护性Put对冲季节性回调。

26

Aug 2026

澳元因强劲CPI走高，市场上调澳洲联储加息概率；美国PCE数据待公布

澳元受7月CPI超预期提振，AUD/USD升至0.7180；市场上调RBA 9月再加息隐含概率至36%。聚焦美国PCE，若低于预期或助突破0.7201。

26

Aug 2026

亚洲风险情绪走强，澳大利亚通胀回升推升澳洲联储加息概率；关于霍尔木兹海峡谈判的报道令油价回落

亚洲风险偏好回暖但澳洲CPI超预期抬升紧缩定价，ASX落后；油价与美债收益率回落。焦点转向央行决议、PCE、英伟达财报与杰克逊霍尔。

26

Aug 2026

美国PCE数据公布前，受回购与利率押注变化影响，美元指数小幅走高，逼近99

DXY回升至99关口静待7月PCE；美债超40万亿、回购上调及伊朗二级制裁扰动预期，FedWatch押注降至38.4%。技术偏弱，短端期权跨式与看跌价差布局波动。

26

Aug 2026

美元走强、PCE数据与杰克逊霍尔讲话前夕，金价回落至4,650美元下方

黄金在PCE与杰克逊霍尔前回落至4,650美元下方；财政部回购压低收益率、美元受限或托底金价。技术面超买，关注4,700突破与期权跨式捕捉波动。

26

Aug 2026

路透调查显示：随着对日本央行终端利率的押注升温，多数受访者预计日本央行将于9月加息

路透调查：57%经济学家押注日本央行9月加息，终端利率预期上修至1.75%-2%+；核心CPI持续超2%助推鹰派重定价，日元走强与收益率上行交易机会浮现。

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