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25

Aug 2026

欧元/美元持稳于1.16附近，德国IFO景气指数及GDP表现坚挺；市场已计价欧洲央行加息，上行空间受限

欧元/美元受德国IFO与GDP终值超预期提振维持1.16高位，但已略高于公允价值且RSI逼近超买；加息预期几近充分计价，关注1.17阻力与1.1650/1.16支撑。

25

Aug 2026

欧元兑美元走强，美元延续疲软；德国数据提振欧元，市场聚焦PCE与杰克逊霍尔央行年会

EUR/USD小幅上行至1.1671，美元受美债回购扩容与财政忧虑压制；德国数据强劲支撑欧元。紧盯PCE与杰克逊霍尔，期权建议买入看涨及做多跨式捕捉波动。

25

Aug 2026

美国房价指数停滞，强化降息押注并令美元承压

美国6月房价指数环比0%，显著低于预期0.2%，住房通胀动能暂歇，强化经济降温与降息预期。策略：做多短端美债期货、买入建商ETF看涨期权、做空DXY。

25

Aug 2026

美国凯斯-席勒房价指数超预期，强化通胀黏性并巩固美联储审慎立场

美国6月标普/凯斯-席勒房价指数同比升2.1%，超预期1.7%，指向住房通胀粘性与降息更审慎；或推升美债收益率，利空地产链并支撑美元。

25

Aug 2026

欧元兑美元走强，德国Ifo指数意外上行；欧洲央行加息预期升温提振欧元，关注1.1800阻力位

欧元/美元受IFO升至一年高位及欧元区数据改善提振，但仍压制于1.1700下方；市场定价ECB 9月加息95%、美联储更鸽派，利差利多欧元，关注1.1800阻力与1.1632支撑。

25

Aug 2026

金价自三个月高位回落，美元走强与ETF资金流入左右后市展望

金价自三个月高位4697美元回落至4635美元，美元走强施压但宏观流动性预期与黄金ETF年内净流入213.4亿美元托底；关注4700阻力、4520支撑及波动率交易机会。

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