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29

Jun 2026

欧元兑美元延续涨势，中东局势进展及欧洲央行利率前景主导市场走势

欧元兑美元连涨至1.1390，市场聚焦美伊卡塔尔会谈与避险情绪变量；短端隐波升至8.2%利好跨式策略。能源回落叠加ECB偏鹰预期支撑欧元。

29

Jun 2026

日本5月大型零售商销售增速达5%，提振市场对日本央行政策转向的押注

日本大型零售商5月销售增速升至5%，验证内需韧性并强化上调GDP预期；核心通胀2.2%增压日央行7月政策正常化，建议做多日元、做空10年JGB、配置日经看涨价差。

29

Jun 2026

WTI跌破70美元，美国-伊朗暂缓打击行动，卡塔尔会谈提振霍尔木兹海峡供应前景

美伊暂停打击并将于卡塔尔复谈，霍尔木兹风险溢价回吐，WTI跌破70美元。库存偏高与OPEC+执行走弱强化看空，建议配置看跌期权并辅以跨式对冲波动。

29

Jun 2026

日本5月零售销售大幅增长，市场关注点聚焦日本央行政策与日元走势展望

日本5月季调零售环比升1.9%超预期，薪资传导支撑内需，强化通胀韧性；日本央行或趋鹰，利多日股、提振日元，压制日债价格。

29

Jun 2026

日本零售销售超预期，提振对日本央行提前收紧政策及日元走强的押注

日本5月零售销售同比升5.3%超预期，叠加东京核心CPI 2.8%与薪资上行，强化BoJ正常化预期；策略上关注日元走强及日经期权波动交易。

29

Jun 2026

澳元/美元企稳于0.6895附近，海湾地区局势缓和、澳洲联储会议纪要及美国就业数据发布在即

AUD/USD亚盘持稳0.6895，聚焦美伊海湾降温会谈与RBA纪要、美国非农。地缘反复或推升美元；澳失业率4.4%支撑有限，期权波动策略受关注。

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