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29

Jun 2026

随着欧洲央行收紧担忧消退，欧元兑英镑走低；英国政局与经济数据为英镑前景蒙上阴影

欧元/英镑回落至0.8450，市场下调ECB续紧预期、互换隐含夏季按兵不动；英欧通胀分化支撑BoE维持高利率。辛特拉论坛成短线催化。目标0.8400。

29

Jun 2026

美元/印尼盾汇率反弹逼近17,900，印尼盾在印尼数据发布前走软且中东紧张局势升温

USD/IDR回升至17,900附近：美伊停火脆弱支撑美元偏强，印尼通胀与Danantara法案压制印尼盾；若6月CPI上行或触发BI偏鹰，期权与远期对冲升温。

29

Jun 2026

沙特黄金价格走低，全球降息押注与央行购金影响后市展望

沙特金价周一回落至489.11里亚尔/克，宏观关注美元与利率预期及非农；央行持续增持构筑底部，隐波14%低位下可用OTM看涨或跨式捕捉波动。

29

Jun 2026

菲律宾金价下跌，美元走弱与央行购金影响后市展望

菲律宾黄金周一回落：每克7,977比索、每托拉93,049比索。美元走弱与降息预期支撑，中长期央行增持托底；回调或成配置机会，可运用期权策略。

29

Jun 2026

欧元/美元企稳：伊朗局势紧张与央行政策前景令利率与波动率成为关注焦点

欧元兑美元徘徊1.1385，市场聚焦美伊降温信号及霍尔木兹风险溢价。周内关注ECB论坛与美国就业数据，左右利率预期、隐含波动率与汇率走向。

29

Jun 2026

美元/瑞郎维持在0.8100附近，美国—伊朗停火缓解避险需求，瑞士央行释放干预信号

USD/CHF徘徊0.8100，停火压制避险令瑞郎走弱、SNB维持零利率并暗示干预。隐含波动率5.2%偏低，建议期权布局上行跳涨，警惕停火破裂冲击。

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