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2

Jul 2026

日本暗示采取隐性日元支撑策略，官员拟针对投机资金而非特定点位展开行动

日本财务省淡化干预“价位防线”，以沉默与抬高做空成本挤压投机空头；净空头再膨胀、隐波走高，突袭式外汇干预概率上升，建议期权对冲。

2

Jul 2026

新西兰元兑美元维持在一周高位附近，市场静待美国非农就业数据及美联储利率信号

非农前NZD/USD守0.5685震荡；市场押注美联储年内再加息、美元获避险支撑。RBNZ鹰派抗跌，但中国需求疲弱与风险规避或压制反弹。

2

Jul 2026

澳元/美元徘徊于0.6900附近，澳大利亚贸易逆差施压，美国就业数据在即

AUD/USD亚盘回升至0.6900附近，受澳洲贸易数据支撑；但5月贸易意外转逆差、出口下滑压制澳元。市场聚焦今晚美国6月非农，或主导美元短线方向。

2

Jul 2026

澳大利亚贸易收支转为30亿澳元逆差，出口下滑拖累澳元走低

ABS数据显示澳大利亚5月贸易差额意外转为30亿澳元逆差，出口大降进口回升，叠加铁矿石走弱与RBA鸽派预期，AUD/USD承压下探0.6845支撑。

2

Jul 2026

澳大利亚贸易收支转为30.2亿澳元逆差，澳元及股市承压加剧

澳大利亚5月贸易收支意外转入30.18亿澳元赤字，远逊预期顺差，净出口动能显著衰减；叠加铁矿石价格下挫，澳元承压，股市与波动率或再定价。

2

Jul 2026

日本6月货币基础同比下降13.7%，推动日元走强并推升日本国债收益率

日本6月货币基础同比骤降13.7%超预期，暗示日央行流动性回收加速、政策更偏鹰：日元或趋势性走强，日股承压，JGB收益率上行，波动率抬升。

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