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31

Aug 2026

韩国7月服务业产出下滑令韩国央行承压，韩元面临逆风

韩国7月服务业产出环比降1.3%，较6月增0.7%骤转收缩，释放需求降温信号；韩央行宽松预期升温，韩元与短端收益率承压，衍生品布局窗口开启。

31

Aug 2026

黄金逼近4,700美元，美联储鹰派立场与美债回购加剧通胀与收益率矛盾

黄金月内飙升至近4700美元，通胀高企与美联储再度收紧预期升温；增长动能转弱叠加40万亿美元国债压力，黄金看涨、长债看跌及波动率保护成焦点。

31

Aug 2026

AI财报强劲增长推动标普500指数创历史新高，摩根大通预计2026年目标点位达8000点

二季报强劲缓解云厂商资本开支疑虑，AI交易重回核心；标普500逼近7,800点，投行上调至8,000点。警惕9月季节性回撤，期权价差与保护性看跌对冲。

30

Aug 2026

美国打击伊朗导弹发射装置威胁霍尔木兹海峡石油运输，推升原油价格及波动率押注

霍尔木兹局势骤然升温：美军打击伊朗发射装置致报复风险上行，或触发油价与OVX飙升。策略：做多原油期货/短期限看涨期权，做空航司运输，配置能源航运。

30

Aug 2026

沃什在杰克逊霍尔的警告令股市承压，市场紧盯利率、大宗商品与加密货币走势

杰克逊霍尔鹰派信号扰动美股，周线仍收涨；纳指受英伟达提振领跑。全球股市分化，亚太偏强。贵金属、国债、原油承压，加密横盘，并夹杂“地缘宇宙”叙事。

30

Aug 2026

标普500指数突破0.618弧线位运行，在看涨偏向下关注0.786水平，除非跌破7,650点

弧线周期指向标普500处于中周期迁移：突破0.618弧后向0.786弧推进，偏多格局延续，上看7,790；若跌破7,650则情景反转并切换至前周期。

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