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31

Aug 2026

8月新西兰澳新银行企业信心降温，强化市场对新西兰联储降息的押注

ANZ新西兰企业信心8月回落至53.7但仍扩张，暗示复苏动能降温；纽元或承压，RBNZ降息节奏更从容。可布局NZD/USD看跌、利率收固浮及AUD/NZD看涨。

31

Aug 2026

日本7月零售销售反弹推动市场对日本央行收紧政策的押注升温，引发日元及日本国债（JGB）波动加剧

日本7月零售环比飙升2.4%逆转前值-4.1%，消费动能强势修复：或强化日央行加息预期，推升日元及JGB、日经波动，建议配置USD/JPY看跌期权。

31

Aug 2026

日本7月工业产出增速放缓，强化市场对日本央行鸽派立场预期并拖累日元走势

日本7月工业产出同比增4.1%低于前值，制造业动能降温。市场押注日银秋季加息更趋谨慎，日元或承压；建议配置USD/JPY看涨期权、日经225看跌期权及做多JGB期货。

31

Aug 2026

贝森特称日元波动可控，关注与日本央行磋商之际美国在G20敦促就对华贸易条款施压

贝森特称日元波动仍“可控”，淡化干预风险；并施压G20重审对华贸易、遏制AI外流。策略：做空美元/日元短波动率，澳元购保护性看跌，纳指100布局日历价差。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月工业产出增速放缓，拖累韩元并令政策前景承压

韩国7月工业产出同比增3.6%，较前值回落2.2个百分点，制造业动能降温信号明确。警惕韩央行提前转向宽松，USD/KRW看涨期权及KOSPI200近月看跌对冲波动。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月工业产出增速大幅放缓，加剧对韩元及政策前景的压力

韩国7月工业产出环比仅增0.2%，较6月6.4%断崖式放缓，半导体需求降温引发经济降速预期；韩元、股市承压，关注降息、波动率与期权对冲。

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