Live Updates

6

Jul 2026

欧元区生产者价格超预期，强化市场对欧洲央行利率“更高更久”的预期

欧元区5月PPI同比5.9%超预期，成本压力消退放缓或推升通胀黏性；ECB偏鹰概率上升，降息再定价：空Euribor期货、做多欧元、对冲欧股回撤。

6

Jul 2026

欧元区5月零售销售增长1.6%，市场关注转向6月通胀数据及欧洲央行利率决议

欧元区5月零售销售同比增1.6%、环比升0.1%符合预期，短线影响中性。关注HICP与PMI及ECB决议；隐波或回落，期权低成本布局窗口显现。

6

Jul 2026

欧元区5月生产者价格上涨0.2%，强化欧洲央行维持政策稳定预期

欧元区5月PPI环比升0.2%符合预期，管道通胀温和受控，减轻ECB政策调整紧迫性并压制波动；关注低波动策略、利率日历价差及外部驱动下的欧元区间期权。

6

Jul 2026

美元/日元自162.80回落；焦点转向160.40支撑位，165关口临近干预风险升温

美元/日元162.80遇阻回落但守住160.40，或区间整理。美国强劲就业与利差支撑美元，165成市场阈值预期。建议战术逢低与看涨期权，防160.40失守。

6

Jul 2026

风险偏好转弱推动美元走强，欧元走低；德国订单向好与Sentix指数回升未能提振

欧元受风险偏好降温拖累小幅回落，德国订单与Sentix改善难敌避险美元走强；DXY重返101、VIX升至18，关注欧区PPI零售及美ISM与沃勒讲话。

6

Jul 2026

加拿大皇家银行（RBC）称，加拿大央行（BoC）第二季度商业前景调查将检验油价冲击对通胀预期的影响，加元走势及降息押注

油价从近100美元跌至70下方，加拿大央行二季度商业调查成关键“风向标”：检验通胀压力扩散与2%预期锚定；若偏鹰，降息或延后，加元与利率期货波动加剧。

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