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Live Updates

31

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎下挫，美元动能减弱；美伊紧张局势升温之际，美联储加息概率上升

美元动能受限致USD/CHF回落至0.8080，但美联储鹰派与美伊冲突推升波动。CME计价9月加息65%，SNB利率或长期0%。策略：短Put对冲、10月牛Call价差布局反弹。

31

Aug 2026

加元在“公允价值”附近企稳，市场聚焦加拿大央行决议与就业数据指引美元兑加元区间走势

加元围绕USD/CAD基本面均衡1.3920窄幅波动成主线；美加前端利差扩张抬升公允价值但限制上下行。聚焦BoC决议与就业数据，关键区间1.3820-1.4000。

31

Aug 2026

由沃什主导的外汇波动令欧元/美元、英镑/美元下行风险成为焦点，白银走势分化，WTI原油突破上行

外汇本周波动加剧：EURUSD、GBPUSD偏空并严设止损；白银警惕冲高扫止后回撤至28；WTI确认上破、回调做多看80；MAG7估值风险抬升，建议期权对冲。

31

Aug 2026

美元兑新元上涨引发中性区间观点：1.2705–1.2780区间运行，上方关键阻力位1.2780受限

USD/SGD 升至1.2754，区间预期上修至1.2705–1.2780、短期转中性；S$NEER偏强与美联储降息压制上行，1.2780阻力成关键，策略转向区间期权与高抛低吸。

31

Aug 2026

荷兰合作银行预计加拿大央行将维持利率在2.25%，市场已计入年底前进一步收紧货币政策预期

荷兰合作银行预计加拿大央行9月维持隔夜利率2.25%，并或至2027年按兵不动；贸易摩擦与能源推升通胀但压制增长，市场17bp加息预期存错配，OIS收固定、做多CORRA具交易机会。

31

Aug 2026

沃什警示可能进一步加息；杰克逊霍尔立场转向推升加息概率、压平收益率曲线

沃什首秀杰克逊霍尔转鹰，称通胀回归2%仍待发力，未排除续加息；市场重定价、长端利率下行，建议熊市趋平、做空SOFR并买短跨式捕捉波动。

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V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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