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16

Jul 2026

英国央行官员布里登表示：中东冲击不太可能导致通胀固化，英镑走弱

Breeden称若无中东冲突英国通胀本可达2%目标，地缘冲击难固化；市场评估偏鸽，英镑承压。关注更快降息定价：做空GBP/USD、买入看跌期权及Sonia期货。

16

Jul 2026

美元指数在美国通胀数据走软提振美联储暂停加息预期之际缓步下探100关口

6月CPI、PPI走弱令DXY逼近100关口，核心PCE或降至3.3%缓解紧缩预期。建议配置DXY近月看跌、欧元看涨及SOFR期货，辅以深虚值美元看涨对冲。

16

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎维持在0.8060附近，因市场对美联储加息押注降温且避险资金流入提供支撑

美元走弱与避险买盘拉锯：USD/CHF 0.8060震荡，0.8000/200日SMA成关键支撑，0.8100压制上行；建议区间期权（铁鹰）收割权利金并配置看涨保险。

16

Jul 2026

AMD涨势逼近第三浪（III）峰值，第四浪（IV）回调空间打开，随后有望延续更广泛上行趋势

AMD 自 4 月低点呈 III 浪冲动上行，末端楔形暗示动能衰竭：短期或进入 IV 浪回撤，目标 360–436，270 上方多头结构不变，期权策略可先防守后布局。

16

Jul 2026

瑞士央行会议纪要释放政策维持稳定信号，瑞郎走强令干预风险仍存

SNB称货币条件适宜、通胀压力稳定，短期或不行动但倾向外汇干预；地缘风险推升预期。瑞郎偏强或触发逆风操作，建议布局USD/CHF虚值看涨与对冲策略。

16

Jul 2026

德国商业银行认为，在加拿大央行（BoC）维持利率不变的情况下，美元/加元（USD/CAD）下行空间取决于美元走弱

加拿大就业与央行决议显示加元驱动不足，USD/CAD下行更倚美元走弱。通胀降温+降息定价强化偏空；建议以短期限看跌期权低成本布局并控反转风险。

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