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Live Updates

1

Sep 2026

日本制造业PMI不及预期，日元降温、加息押注降温，提振日经指数及日本国债衍生品

日本8月Jibun Bank制造业PMI报54.9不及预期55.1，扩张延续但动能边际降温；或压制日央行加息押注，日元偏弱，期权与股债衍生品机会浮现。

1

Sep 2026

澳元/美元维持在0.7165附近，油价飙升推升美债收益率，市场静待美国数据及澳大利亚GDP公布

地缘冲突推升油价与美债收益率，澳元/美元0.7165横盘且美元未全面走强；RBA偏鹰、通胀粘性3.6%叠加澳GDP与美数据窗口，期权跨式布局波动突破。

1

Sep 2026

英镑/美元维持在1.3550附近，美联储加息押注与地缘政治因素持续对英镑构成压力

英镑/美元1.3550窄幅整理但下行偏向未改：央行政策分化与地缘风险推升美元，关注1.3500支撑；若日线收复1.3600，空头逻辑失效。

1

Sep 2026

受央行增持黄金、供给缺口及债务因素推动，大宗商品飙升，硬资产走强

硬资产“共振牛市”来袭：金银铜油齐涨、央行购金创纪录，叠加供给缺口与国债扩张推升通胀预期；建议以贵金属期权、铜价差与原油农产品多头布局。

1

Sep 2026

受中东紧张局势影响，道指收跌；油价上涨，市场对加息的押注升至60%

地缘冲突推升油价与通胀预期，道指回落至约53,300点但8月仍涨1.4%。美债收益率高企、加息概率升至60%，9月季节性偏弱，关注看跌期权与波动率策略。

1

Sep 2026

墨西哥比索小幅走强，油价上涨抵消美联储加息预期，美元/墨西哥比索维持在17下方

墨西哥比索逆势走强，USD/MXN回落至16.99；油价升破85美元与美元指数走弱共振。市场押注9月加息65%，技术偏空，建议短期限看跌期权并卖出虚值看涨对冲。

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