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20

Jul 2026

受中东紧张局势提振美元，欧元/美元稳定于1.1430附近；市场聚焦欧洲央行会议

中东冲突抬升风险溢价推升美元避险，EUR/USD回落至1.1430；油价走高强化通胀再起与美联储更鹰预期。临近欧央行，期权跨式捕捉波动。

20

Jul 2026

WTI油价跃升至83美元上方，美伊冲突加剧引发对中东供应中断的担忧

美伊冲突升级推升WTI跳空突破83美元，7月累涨近20%；霍尔木兹供应中断风险或促油价上探90。建议采取牛市价差、关注近月反向与金油比，严控保证金风险。

20

Jul 2026

中国央行维持关键政策利率在3%不变，货币政策基调保持稳健

重磅稳预期：央行按兵不动，维持关键政策利率3%不变，符合市场共识，延续稳健货币政策取向；FXStreet称报道聚焦外汇市场，未附加新措施与前瞻指引。

20

Jul 2026

受美伊紧张局势推动油价走强并强化美联储加息预期，金价在4000美元附近徘徊

金价亚洲盘下探逼近4000美元，二季度累跌14%创十年最差；美伊冲突推升油价与通胀预期，FedWatch定价9月加息概率61%，压制黄金，建议看跌期权及价差。

20

Jul 2026

7月Rightmove指数跌幅扩大，加剧英国房地产市场及英镑前景压力

英国Rightmove房价指数7月环比跌1%，跌幅扩大且弱于季节性均值；高按揭利率压制需求。英镑承压，关注GBP看跌期权、开发商做空及做多SONIA期货。

20

Jul 2026

新西兰6月贸易顺差大幅收窄，加剧纽元与利率前景压力

警惕纽元：新西兰6月贸易顺差骤降至2300万纽元（前值8亿），收窄7.77亿；出口动能转弱或推升波动，强化RBNZ鸽派预期与做空、看跌期权策略。

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