Live Updates

21

Jul 2026

美元/新元维持在1.29附近，风险厌恶情绪抑制美元回调，市场静待新加坡CPI及金管局政策评估

华侨银行称USD/SGD低位窄幅震荡，动能温和偏空但RSI回升；地缘风险与AI抛售压制情绪。焦点转向新加坡CPI及MAS政策检讨，汇价或迎波动放大。

21

Jul 2026

特朗普下令对大部分加拿大进口商品征收50%关税，推动美元/加元走高并推升波动率预期

重磅冲击：特朗普援引《1930年关税法》338条拟对多数加拿大产品加征50%关税，8月19日生效。美元/加元走强、加元贬值与隐含波动率抬升风险加剧。

21

Jul 2026

美元兑日元在162.50附近横盘整理，日本经济数据与美国PMI临近，干预担忧仍在发酵

美元/日元162.50附近窄幅盘整两周，技术超买回落但跌势有限；日银加息与财务省干预效力受限。焦点转向贸易、CPI与美PMI，163.00突破风险加剧。

21

Jul 2026

新西兰CPI意外升至4.1%，令新西兰联储降息前景蒙上阴影，提振纽元及掉期收益率

新西兰二季度CPI同比4.1%超预期，通胀粘性强化RBNZ“更高更久”定价：降息或延后，纽元获支撑；建议偏多NZD并做空票据、押注两年掉期走高。

21

Jul 2026

英镑/日元连续三个交易日下跌延续，交易员权衡伯纳姆讲话；多头关注突破219关口

GBP/JPY连跌三日回落至218.13，英国新政府不确定性压制英镑。RSI仍偏强，突破219.00或上看220-221；守218.01支撑，失守警惕下探216.06。

21

Jul 2026

在美国通胀回落抑制美元强势之际，央行中间价设定锚定美元/离岸人民币波动区间

OCBC称PBOC中间价成USD/CNH短期锚，偏强定盘支撑CNH，美元回落难破7.20-7.32区间；低波动宜铁鹰/宽跨收权利金，警惕政策突变放大波动。

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