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21

Jul 2026

在伊朗停火谈判及油价风险背景下，美元/瑞郎跌破0.8100，瑞郎收窄跌幅

中东冲突与停火博弈令避险需求支撑瑞郎、美元回撤受限；油价逼近85美元抬升能源通胀与9月加息预期。策略：0.8100买短期限USD/CHF看涨，原油做牛市价差。

21

Jul 2026

美元企稳，中东紧张局势支撑油价，英镑、加元和纽元随关键数据波动

中东冲突升级推升油价与避险情绪，外汇维持区间震荡；布伦特逼近90美元且上破100风险增。建议配置原油OTM看涨、做多美元，并以加元/日元期权对冲波动。

21

Jul 2026

华侨银行警告称，伯纳姆的财政灵活性或将拖累英镑走势；欧元/英镑瞄准反弹至0.87

财政忧虑升温扰动英债、压制英镑：OCBC称伯纳姆拟用财政“灵活性”加剧波动。EUR/GBP回调近尾声，料反弹至0.87，建议期权与价差策略布局。

21

Jul 2026

欧元/美元维持在1.1400附近，受油价驱动的地缘政治风险升温，市场聚焦欧洲央行决议前夕

欧元/美元1.1400上方横盘，受美元回调与中东风险、油价上行牵制；市场聚焦德国ZEW与欧央行决议及9月加息预期，建议以期权对冲并布局波动率交易。

21

Jul 2026

受地缘政治紧张情绪影响，美欧股市回落；亚洲市场在近期抛售后反弹

地缘政治风险叠加美国实际收益率上行压制风险偏好，美欧股市走弱；亚洲在前期回调后出现技术性反弹，期指转强，韩日股指领涨，A股回升。

21

Jul 2026

英国失业率稳定在4.9%，就业人数增加；英镑小幅走高，薪资增速表现不一

英国失业率4.9%低于预期，就业新增14.7万、申领增幅远低预估，薪资温和回落支撑BoE偏鹰重定价，GBP/USD升至1.3450；关注英镑看涨期权与日历价差布局。

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