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Live Updates

2

Sep 2026

GDT价格指数升幅放缓至0.9%，乳制品上涨动能降温削弱新西兰元利好支撑

GDT指数涨幅由2.3%降至0.9%释放定价动能减弱信号；乳制品占新西兰出口逾两成，纽元上行受限。关注NZD/USD逢高做空及低波动率看跌期权。

2

Sep 2026

美元企稳，国债收益率反弹；欧元和英镑走弱，油价上涨、金价回落

美元指数在美债收益率反弹与地缘风险支撑下企稳上破99.60；策略上配置美元看涨期权，做空欧元/英镑看跌期权；日元关注160干预；原油看涨价差，黄金回调卖出看跌增厚收益。

2

Sep 2026

道指下挫，伊朗发动袭击及霍尔木兹海峡油轮遇袭推升原油供应担忧，并强化美联储加息预期

中东冲突升级与油轮遇袭推升油价、抬升通胀预期，道指回落至52750。美债收益率走高、9月加息定价升至68%；数据前市场波动加剧，期权对冲升温。

1

Sep 2026

美国52周期国库券收益率升至3.98%，推动市场强化“高利率维持更久”定价

美国52周国库券拍卖中标收益率升至3.98%，较前次上行10基点逼近4%。利率预期上修，短端SOFR期权可卖出看涨收权利金并配保护性对冲。

1

Sep 2026

英镑兑美元维持区间震荡：美国经济数据喜忧参半、鹰派美联储压制GBP/USD上行空间

英镑兑美元受美国数据分化与美联储鹰派预期压制，维持1.3540区间震荡；短期隐含波动率偏低，建议铁鹰/卖跨收取权利金，警惕2年期美债收益率上行触发1.3400支撑测试。

1

Sep 2026

新西兰元/美元走低逼近0.5900，美元在新西兰联储决议前守住涨幅

纽元兑美元徘徊0.5900承压，美指韧性叠加ISM回落与JOLTS偏弱；RBNZ或加息25bp但指引或不及激进定价，期权布局下行窗口打开。

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