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2

Sep 2026

新西兰央行将官方现金利率上调至2.75%，但谨慎的政策指引令纽元走低

重磅！新西兰联储如期加息25bp至2.75%，强调OCR路径不预设、收紧空间有限；通胀与就业前景分化压制纽元，NZD/USD回落，期权偏向短端看跌布局。

2

Sep 2026

星展银行将印度2027财年GDP增速预期上调至7.2%，同时将通胀预测上调至5.2%

印度GDP强劲超预期，UOB上调FY27增速至7.2%、通胀至5.2%。RBI或转鹰派，建议OIS付固定、看多INR、做多波动率及农产品与原油对冲。

2

Sep 2026

华侨银行上调亚洲外汇预测，基于基本面改善及资金流入上调韩元与马来西亚林吉特预期

抓住东亚强势窗口：华侨银行上调亚洲外汇预测，显著看多KRW与MYR；基于韩国出口回暖、马来西亚增长与收支支撑，建议以期权远期进行精细化相对价值配置。

2

Sep 2026

美国与伊朗互袭推升油价和美债收益率、加息预期升温，金价下挫

美伊冲突升级叠加美债收益率走高与加息预期上修，金价自4,461美元急挫至4,342美元并失守关键均线；油价冲高推升机会成本，短线下行风险加剧。

2

Sep 2026

荷兰合作银行警告：贸易壁垒抬升致中国贸易模式承压，人民币贬值对冲成市场焦点

贸易壁垒升级叠加内需疲弱，中国出口拉动模式承压；PMI分化加剧“可出口剩余”与增长下行风险。建议配置USD/CNH看涨、原油跨式及FXI看跌，布局贬值与波动。

2

Sep 2026

匈牙利二季度GDP增速掩盖福林风险：消费增速快于投资与出口

匈牙利Q2 GDP回升但结构性掣肘犹存：消费支撑2026增速1.7%，投资与净出口拖累。关注福林贬压，布局EUR/HUF期权、利率互换；债券曲线陡峭化并以BUX看跌对冲。

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· VTMarkets Ltd 注册于塞浦路斯共和国，注册号为 HE436466，注册地址为 Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus。

V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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