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2

Sep 2026

随着美债收益率升至多年高位且市场加大押注美联储加息，金价下跌

美债收益率升至4.81%并推升加息预期至67%，叠加油价冲高强化通胀担忧，黄金跌破20日EMA承压；关注ADP数据，期权/利率衍生品对冲波动。

2

Sep 2026

金价回升至4,320美元上方，美元走软提供支撑，但油价主导的通胀担忧限制上行空间

金价自四周低点技术性反弹重返4,320美元，但油价走高推升通胀预期、10年期美债收益率逼近5%压制上行；地缘冲突升温强化美元避险，空头机会浮现。

2

Sep 2026

澳大利亚GDP超预期，提振澳元走强；交易员聚焦澳洲联储偏鹰派利率前景

澳大利亚二季度GDP环比0.4%超预期点燃“澳元再定价”：AUD/USD上行至0.7151。经济韧性或促RBA高利率更久，外汇偏多、黄金偏空，利率期货做空债券。

2

Sep 2026

澳大利亚第二季度GDP超预期，强化市场对澳洲联储利率“更高更久”预期

澳洲二季度GDP同比增2.1%超预期0.3个百分点，增长韧性强化RBA“高利率更久”预期：澳元偏强、国债收益率上行，ASX200利率敏感板块需期权对冲。

2

Sep 2026

美国国债收益率攀升、美联储鹰派立场推升美元，金价跌至两周低点

金价亚盘跌至4,330美元两周低位，受美债收益率与美元走强压制；中东冲突推升通胀预期。沃什鹰派强化9月加息押注，非农与技术面偏空。

2

Sep 2026

韩国通胀低于预期，提振韩国国债期货并推升美元/韩元期权需求

韩国8月CPI同比3.1%，低于预期3.2%，通胀边际降温。关注韩国央行政策转向：做多3年期KTB期货、配置USD/KRW看涨期权及短期限KOSPI看涨期权。

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