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28

Jul 2026

WTI因美伊紧张局势缓和而延续跌势，霍尔木兹海峡风险溢价消退

WTI受美伊紧张缓和及霍尔木兹“联合管理”提议影响续挫，报77.90美元跌近4%，地缘溢价退潮。技术面转空，关注74.78支撑，失守或下看67-65。

28

Jul 2026

美元指数自年内高位回落，受美债收益率下行及油价跌破80美元拖累

美元指数冲高回落至101.30，仍稳居多条均线之上；WTI跌破80美元压低美债收益率，叠加CPI走弱与信心下降，市场押注FOMC按兵不动。

28

Jul 2026

欧元/美元小幅走高：美元走软抵消德国央行谨慎表态，关键阻力位在1.1416

美元走软及美国信心回落推动EUR/USD上探1.1400，但德央行警示增速降温与能源通胀风险；技术面1.1380支撑、1.1416压制，低流动性下宜区间期权与保护性对冲。

28

Jul 2026

德国商业银行将黄金年末目标价下调至4,500美元，实际收益率与美联储政策前景构成压制

金价自1月高位回撤近30%，受实际收益率上行与美联储偏鹰预期压制；德国商业银行下调年末目标至4500美元，称ETF流入与利率预期不转向难反弹。

28

Jul 2026

布伦特原油下跌，美伊会谈降温战争风险，霍尔木兹海峡与黑海原油流量仍受关注

美伊暂停升级且谈判乐观，布伦特回落；走势仍锚定实物流量。霍尔木兹/曼德复航与黑海装船回升或续压油价，但破裂风险使风险溢价难消。

28

Jul 2026

韩综指暴跌凸显其与标普500相关性偏低，离散度及成分股波动率飙升

韩股KOSPI暴跌引发全球资产背离：相关性下行抑制指数波动，离散度与隐含指标却处历史高位，科技板块主导分化；聚焦7月29日FOMC与9月降息定价。

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