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3

Aug 2026

ING指出，美联储与FIMA回购机制或为罕见美日干预日元之渠道，意在将美元兑日元汇率上限控制在160附近

ING称美日罕见联手外汇干预：日本借FIMA回购以美债抵押融美元，意在遏制USD/JPY上破160、争取政策窗口。然美紧日松分化未改，汇价难持续跌破155。

3

Aug 2026

布伦特原油价格下跌，霍尔木兹海峡风险持续；交易员聚焦油价与风险资产的周度波动

霍尔木兹风险主导油市：打击暂停致布伦特回落，但“周内循环”或再推升。库存下滑、裂解价差偏强；建议战术做多期权与跨期、远月谨慎做空。

3

Aug 2026

欧元/英镑受阻于0.8570下方，PMI下修令英国央行前景承压，支撑位临近构成考验

欧元兑英镑反弹受阻0.8570，技术动能边际转弱；PMI终值下修凸显英欧景气分化。突破看0.8600，跌破0.8545或探0.8530，期权策略可捕捉波动。

3

Aug 2026

澳元/美元跌向0.7000附近，因美元走强、中国PMI走弱且澳洲联储维持鹰派立场

AUD/USD跌破0.7000，美元走强压制澳元；中国制造业PMI回落拖累风险偏好，RBA仍偏鹰。关注ISM与非农，建议期权对冲、跨式及价差把握波动。

3

Aug 2026

随着油价暴跌及美联储加息押注限制金价上涨，黄金回吐缺口跳涨，XAU/USD受限于4,036美元附近

金价跳空后回吐至4,036美元，受美伊表态反复、油价暴跌缓解通胀及美债收益率走软支撑；但加息预期与数据周压制上行，4,000美元成关键防线。

3

Aug 2026

美元跌至七周低位，市场静待7月ISM制造业数据，日元支撑下走势反转

ISM7月制造业PMI料回升至54、价格指数降至70.3；美元指数七周低位、欧元高位震荡。策略：EUR/USD短期期权与宽跨式，辅以DXY、SOFR期货对冲。

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