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4

Aug 2026

韩国7月CPI同比上涨2.8%，低于3%的预期值

韩国7月CPI同比2.8%不及市场预期3%，通胀压力边际缓和；数据偏软强化通胀回落至夏末判断，或影响货币政策预期与风险资产定价。

4

Aug 2026

在干预传闻及美国数据提振美元的背景下，美元/瑞郎反弹至0.8100

美元/瑞郎受美日疑似干预、美国数据超预期及美伊停火提振，反弹守稳50日均线并改善RSI；上破0.8150看0.8207，跌破0.8100警惕下探100/200日均线。

4

Aug 2026

新西兰元兑美元维持在0.5870附近，美国数据走强令美元坚挺，纽就业报告发布前市场观望

NZD/USD围绕0.5870窄幅震荡，受美国ISM超预期推升收益率与美元企稳压制。新西兰就业、LCI及中国服务业PMI将引爆波动，建议短跨式并配看跌期权对冲。

4

Aug 2026

受美伊会谈希望升温、风险溢价回落影响，油价下挫；美国工厂景气指标好于预期，美元走强

油价因美伊谈判预期崩跌、美元受ISM走强提振，G10普遍承压；策略聚焦WTI熊市价差、黄金长线看涨及USD/JPY看跌，并关注亚太就业数据冲击。

4

Aug 2026

霍姆斯将黄金“恐惧与钟爱”交易视为：债务风险、日元套利交易平仓及人工智能金属需求上升的映射

黄金买盘六成源自亚洲中东“家族财富”配置，叠加高债务与MMT推升金价；日元套息回补或触发跨资产抛售。模型称60日金价上行概率85%，AI基建拉动铜银需求。

4

Aug 2026

中国 mBridge 央行数字货币（CBDC）网络携手 CIPS 以更低成本跨境结算挑战 SWIFT

中国拟推区块链跨境批发CBDC平台mBridge，由中港泰阿央行支持、香港机构运营；已结算4,700亿元，或向商业银行开放，费用较SWIFT降约50%，补充CIPS并削弱美元主导。

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