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6

Aug 2026

欧元维持在182.25日元附近，干预风险与欧元区销售数据主导欧元兑日元（EUR/JPY）波动

EUR/JPY于182.25附近企稳续涨，但美日潜在联合干预抬升不确定性。关注欧元区零售数据与利差变化，建议以长跨式/宽跨式及虚值日元看涨期权对冲高波动风险。

6

Aug 2026

金价上涨：美元走软及市场下调美联储加息预期推动金价回升至4205关键支撑位上方

金价受美元走软与政策预期再定价驱动上破4205，技术指向4550，回撤关注4205/3960。非农与加就业或引爆汇市波动；油价受霍尔木兹不确定性牵制。

6

Aug 2026

意大利6月工业产出下降0.6%，加剧市场对欧洲央行鸽派立场的押注并推动利差走阔交易

意大利6月工业产出同比降0.6%远逊预期，制造业持续收缩。疲弱或推动欧央行立场转鸽，BTP-Bund利差走阔风险上升，欧股与欧元面临下行压力。

6

Aug 2026

英镑/美元小幅走高，英镑进入盘整阶段；期权显示1.3555下方或维持区间震荡运行

英镑/美元温和上行但动能偏弱，短线或在1.3445–1.3495高位区间震荡；上行受制1.3555。支撑上调至1.3410，建议期权区间策略与逢低布局。

6

Aug 2026

布伦特原油徘徊于80美元下方，美国与伊朗达成协议预期抵消馏分油和柴油市场供应趋紧影响

布伦特原油徘徊80美元下方，美伊阿曼谈判或促霍尔木兹航运恢复，潜在回调风险上升；但成品油库存下滑、馏分油出口创新高，裂解价差做多机会凸显。

6

Aug 2026

随着干预影响减弱且非农就业数据临近，美元/日元反弹延续至157.80

USD/JPY反弹至157.80，获利回吐削弱日元干预升势；市场紧盯非农与日本后续政策。技术承压160.55，155.23/154.00为下看目标，期权布局看跌与波动率。

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