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6

Aug 2026

AI 交易转向成本效率，超大规模云服务商支出增速放缓挤压硬件利润率

AI交易逻辑由稀缺转向经济性，中国开源降价挤压硬件定价权；超大云厂商CapEx上修但增速趋缓，期权IV或回落，策略转向软件平台与推理基建。

6

Aug 2026

美元企稳、市场静待伊朗—阿曼就霍尔木兹达成协议之际，黄金在4,270美元附近盘整

金价守住前日逾4%涨幅，短暂上破4,300美元后整理；美元企稳与霍尔木兹安排待确认。劳工数据偏弱下调9月加息预期，非农前波动率或上行。

6

Aug 2026

美元和原油走强、黄金创历史新高，交易员关注美国数据及霍尔木兹海峡动态

9月开盘美元指数99.650、原油75.82同涨，金价4329再创新高，债券走弱、股指期货偏强；霍尔木兹传闻扰动。美国劳动力数据密集，警惕相关性脱钩与波动率飙升。

6

Aug 2026

由于中东风险溢价消退，尽管海湾地区出口受限仍存，WTI跌破75美元

油价急挫：WTI自80美元回落至74.25，主因中东风险溢价重估、霍尔木兹通行改善；但实物流与交付受限、需求预期分化与库存回升或令波动延续。

6

Aug 2026

巴西央行将Selic基准利率下调至14%，通胀与选举风险加剧令宽松前景趋紧

巴西央行如期降息25基点至14%，但淡化前瞻指引、数据依赖更强。通胀与财政约束压缩后续空间，关注2026年DI与利率互换付息，并用USD/BRL期权对冲选举波动。

6

Aug 2026

欧元区零售销售不及预期，引发对消费者需求及欧元前景的再度担忧

欧元区6月零售销售环比降0.3%超预期、同比仅增0.7%，消费动能显著走弱；欧元反应平淡但上行受限，市场或提前计价降息，外汇与利率衍生品对冲需求升温。

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