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7

Aug 2026

美国、加拿大就业数据料将推动外汇市场波动加剧，因市场对美联储与加拿大央行政策路径的定价分歧加大

美加就业数据同公布叠加7月FOMC指引偏模糊，外汇或现放大波动：关注EUR/USD区间与USD/JPY敏感度；加国、捷克、匈牙利利率定价同步重估。

7

Aug 2026

市场严阵以待美国非农就业数据考验，因美联储9月加息概率回落且欧元兑美元关键价位临近

周五非农料回升至8万、失业率4.2%；若低于4万或压美元推升欧元。9月加息概率降至55%，期权与技术位1.1570成交易焦点。

7

Aug 2026

随着美国非农就业数据临近且美联储加息信号支撑美元，英镑兑美元维持区间震荡

英镑兑美元温和反弹仍陷1.3400-1.3500区间；沃什释放9月加息信号推升美元偏多。警惕非农（预期8万）触发波动，关注1.3410支撑与1.3555阻力，期权跨式/看跌策略更占优。

7

Aug 2026

捷克国家银行在克朗走软、欧元兑捷克克朗汇率企稳之际维持利率于3.75%不变

捷克央行按兵不动释放观望信号：政策利率维持3.75%但仍偏通胀；核心通胀与工资上行风险未消，克朗或低波动横盘，期权宜区间卖波动。

7

Aug 2026

英镑/日元维持在213附近，英银—日银利差及日本财政担忧令日元承压

英镑/日元213附近震荡，三日反弹后受美元走强压制；日本财政扩张与消费疲弱削弱加息预期，275bp利差支撑套息。衍生品可布局看涨及牛市价差。

7

Aug 2026

瑞士国家银行7月外汇储备增至7680亿瑞郎，暗示干预瑞郎汇率

瑞士外汇储备7月升至7,680亿瑞郎，环比增90亿，暗示SNB扩表干预、抑制瑞郎升值；关注EUR/CHF看涨期权与低波动策略，兼顾SARON短端多头。

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