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9

Aug 2026

中国7月CPI环比下降0.1%，不及预期，释放通胀走软信号

意外下滑引发关注：中国7月CPI环比降0.1%，不及预期增0.2%，通胀修复动能弱于预期，或映射需求偏弱，扰动短期价格与政策预期。

9

Aug 2026

中国7月PPI同比下降3.5%，凸显出厂价格持续通缩压力

7月中国PPI同比降3.5%，优于预期降3.8%，通缩压力仍存但收缩温和；工业需求动能降温，或强化宽松预期，影响大宗商品、人民币及债市定价。

9

Aug 2026

中国7月CPI不及预期，加剧通缩担忧并强化进一步政策宽松预期

7月CPI同比仅0.5%不及预期，通缩预期升温并强化宽松押注；或触发降息、人民币承压、国债收益率下行，商品与股指波动加剧，交易机会凸显。

8

Aug 2026

CFTC数据显示：日元空头挤压引发外汇市场全面回补，黄金多头持仓进一步攀升

CFTC持仓剧变：日元空头挤压推升至63分位，带动主要货币回补；黄金净多占OI超53%逼近92分位，拥挤风险升温，原油净多下滑谨慎。

8

Aug 2026

由于贷款增速偏低推升宽松预期与对冲交易，中国7月信贷需求料仍疲弱

信贷脉冲再度走弱：7月新增贷款料仅108亿元、M2增速8%，按揭提前还款与预防性储蓄压制内需；宽松预期升温，建议多国债期货、空工业金属、买USD/CNH及港股看跌期权。

8

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币在窄幅区间内盘整，除非突破6.7640否则下行倾向仍存

美元兑离岸人民币陷入窄幅震荡！日内持平收于6.7483，动能偏弱，短线料维持6.7450–6.7550区间；中期偏弱看6.7300。长期反弹需破6.8430。

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