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8

Aug 2026

由于贷款增速偏低推升宽松预期与对冲交易，中国7月信贷需求料仍疲弱

信贷脉冲再度走弱：7月新增贷款料仅108亿元、M2增速8%，按揭提前还款与预防性储蓄压制内需；宽松预期升温，建议多国债期货、空工业金属、买USD/CNH及港股看跌期权。

8

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币在窄幅区间内盘整，除非突破6.7640否则下行倾向仍存

美元兑离岸人民币陷入窄幅震荡！日内持平收于6.7483，动能偏弱，短线料维持6.7450–6.7550区间；中期偏弱看6.7300。长期反弹需破6.8430。

8

Aug 2026

黄金飙升至5,000美元考验AI交易模型：算法在美联储事件前后压缩价格重估窗口

金价2026年冲破5000美元后急挫，AI量化交易加速秒级再定价并放大情绪冲击；央行年购金逾千吨支撑“人为底部”。波动升温，期权策略成焦点。

8

Aug 2026

星展银行预计新加坡第二季度GDP上修幅度更大，官方上调2026年经济增长预测的概率上升

星展预计新加坡2026年二季度GDP上修至同比5.9%，制造业与贸易服务驱动；或促官方上调全年预测、MAS维持偏紧，利好新元与权益衍生品，建议布局SGD与STI多头并对冲下行风险。

8

Aug 2026

美伊在阿曼会谈提升霍尔木兹海峡重新开放预期，油价承压，交易员严阵以待波动加剧

美伊在阿曼斡旋谈判传进展，霍尔木兹海峡或迅速解封；若协议落地，布伦特/WTI波动率溢价回落并承压下行，谈判破裂则油价或冲破90美元。

8

Aug 2026

在干预后英镑兑日元维持在200日均线上方，阻力位限制反弹空间

GBP/JPY 短破200日均线后收复212，日内微跌但周线或小幅收涨；干预预期抬升日元。上方214.48/215.42承压，下方212/211.91/211关键支撑，隐波升至11.5%。

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