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10

Aug 2026

英国第二季度GDP增速放缓威胁英镑，市场计入英国央行进一步收紧预期

英国二季度GDP或仅增0.3%–0.4%，内需受金融条件收紧与实际收入走弱拖累；掉期仍定价未来12个月加息50bp，若数据不及预期，利率预期或鸽派重估，英镑承压。

10

Aug 2026

美国非农就业数据疲软打压美元，市场下调9月美联储加息预期，推动欧元/美元走高

非农“爆冷”致美元承压，EUR/USD触及1.1581逼近两月高位；市场仅定价9月加息11bp。关注Sentix与欧元区GDP二次值，期权多头与风险逆转可捕捉波动。

10

Aug 2026

丹麦7月通胀放缓至1.7%，强化降息预期并提振债券需求

丹麦7月CPI同比降至1.7%跌破2%关口，通胀动能放缓；丹麦央行或更易跟随欧央行鸽派，利率互换计入降息，做多国债期货并低成本配置EUR/DKK期权对冲。

10

Aug 2026

随着原油价格攀升且市场对美联储加息押注降温，印度卢比走弱，推动美元/印度卢比（USD/INR）逼近95.25

油价走高与霍尔木兹风险推升进口压力，卢比承压、USD/INR反弹至95.25；美联储9月加息概率降至46%压制美元。建议原油看涨、汇价偏空与铁鹰策略。

10

Aug 2026

巴基斯坦金价回落；交易员权衡逢低买入，央行需求与卢比汇率波动成焦点

巴基斯坦金价周一回落：托拉449,674卢比、克价38,555。FXStreet称为折算指示价。央行购金与潜在降息、DXY支撑或破，回调或成配置窗口。

10

Aug 2026

美元/日元小幅走高，受日本央行意见分歧及日本经常账户赤字拖累日元

USD/JPY亚盘回升至158.20，受日本央行分歧与经常账户意外转赤压制日元、地缘避险及美联储偏鹰推升美元；警惕美国CPI触发回调，期权对冲需求升温。

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