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12

Aug 2026

黄金企稳于4,400美元上方，市场聚焦美国CPI公布；霍尔木兹海峡与红海风险支撑油价

黄金守住4,400美元、原油受地缘冲突及海峡风险支撑，通胀预期升温令美元与收益率走强；CPI发布前宜谨慎，运用期权对冲与波动策略。

12

Aug 2026

API报告美国原油库存增加910万桶，逆市场预期去库并打压WTI油价

API显示8月7日当周美国原油库存意外大增907.2万桶，远超预期去库50万桶，需求降温信号强化，WTI短线或承压3%-5%，看跌期权与价差策略受关注。

12

Aug 2026

美国通过抛售欧元支撑日元以捍卫美元和美国国债，令欧洲央行措手不及

美方罕见以欧元干预支撑日元，回避美元走弱与美债抛压，欧央行事后获悉；日本拟用FIMA回购缓冲减持。信号指向美债供需紧张、长端收益率与外汇波动上行，期权对冲需求升温。

12

Aug 2026

泰国7月通胀低于预期，强化泰国央行暂停加息预期，泰铢企稳

泰国7月CPI同比2.0%低于预期，燃油回落压制通胀，核心仍偏弱。市场押注央行利率长期按兵不动；泰铢短线受金价支撑但年内偏弱，宜用期权对冲。

12

Aug 2026

英镑在英国政治风险缓解、收益率利差改善之际企稳于数月高位附近

英镑/美元逼近多月区间上沿，政治风险溢价下行、风险逆转收敛且下行保护需求降温；英美利差改善支撑偏多。建议卖出虚值看跌，突破则买入看涨价差。

12

Aug 2026

美国CPI公布在即，美元指数持稳于100关口下方；原油与黄金波动受关注

CPI公布前DXY徘徊100下方，通胀放缓预期压制美元。霍尔木兹关闭推升油金波动：建议WTI看涨期权、黄金牛市价差；欧元看涨、美元/日元短期限熊市价差布局。

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