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Live Updates

12

Aug 2026

美国CPI料将回落，油价波动与美联储加息概率影响欧元/美元及期权定价

今夜美国7月CPI或温和降温，核心通胀与油价扰动将重塑加息定价；EUR/USD或现80点级波动，期权跨式布局关注1.1570阻力与1.1470支撑。

12

Aug 2026

挪威央行料将鹰派按兵不动，通胀粘性令9月加息预期犹存

挪威央行明日料维持4.25%政策利率不变但偏鹰，通胀粘性支撑9月或加至4.5%。关注9月FRA、EUR/NOK看跌及挪德利差交易机遇。

12

Aug 2026

罗马尼亚通胀率受基数效应推动回落，CEE市场计入捷克与波兰进一步收紧政策预期

罗马尼亚CPI回落至8.2%但核心粘性，央行料2027前不降息；建议RON短端互换付固定。中欧加息定价偏鹰，做多CZK/PLN接收固定并远期多两币、空HUF。

12

Aug 2026

随着油价上涨，卢比走弱；市场静待印度及美国7月通胀数据

油价因霍尔木兹海峡航运受扰走强，推升印度卢比承压、USD/INR逼近95.52关键均线；市场紧盯印美7月CPI与波动率溢价，衍生品策略偏区间配置。

12

Aug 2026

黄金企稳于4,400美元上方，市场聚焦美国CPI公布；霍尔木兹海峡与红海风险支撑油价

黄金守住4,400美元、原油受地缘冲突及海峡风险支撑，通胀预期升温令美元与收益率走强；CPI发布前宜谨慎，运用期权对冲与波动策略。

12

Aug 2026

API报告美国原油库存增加910万桶，逆市场预期去库并打压WTI油价

API显示8月7日当周美国原油库存意外大增907.2万桶，远超预期去库50万桶，需求降温信号强化，WTI短线或承压3%-5%，看跌期权与价差策略受关注。

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