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4

Sep 2026

美国工资增速维持在0.3%，市场权衡美联储降息概率与波动率前景

美国8月平均时薪环比增0.3%符预期，通胀与美联储取向短期稳定；隐含波动率或回落，宜卖出期权收权利金；降息预期偏渐进，权益偏科技。

4

Sep 2026

加元因油价反弹有望录得周度涨幅，就业数据公布前美元/加元转入看跌走势

加元周内料升0.7%，美元/加元两周低点反弹但周线现看跌吞没；油价受地缘风险推升支撑加元。8月加美就业与下周CPI将主导波动机会。

4

Sep 2026

印度外汇储备升至7408亿美元，提振卢比稳定性及波动率前景

印度外汇储备升至7,408亿美元创历史新高，单期增加114.7亿美元，巩固7,000亿美元防线；RBI稳汇能力强化，USD/INR波动或收敛，宜卖波动、慎突破。

4

Sep 2026

随着市场对澳洲联储加息押注升温，英镑兑澳元走低；英国央行政策前景仍存不确定性

RBA再度收紧预期升温，澳洲Q2增长稳健、核心通胀3.6%。市场计入9月加息概率约2/3及11月25bp，支撑AUD，GBPAUD承压；英国通胀2.9%、BoE分歧加大。

4

Sep 2026

澳元兑美元走强，美元走软因市场重新定价美联储加息预期；美国非农就业与CPI成市场焦点

美联储加息预期降至五五开削弱美元利差优势，AUD/USD延续多头逼近0.7280；市场重心转向CPI与波动率抬升，建议配置澳元看涨与跨式期权捕捉行情。

4

Sep 2026

WTI油价跌破90美元，美国与伊朗紧张局势再起引发霍尔木兹海峡供应担忧

WTI欧洲时段回落至88.65美元，受美伊摩擦升温及霍尔木兹供应中断风险扰动；短线波动率或走高。关注虚值看涨、牛市价差及85美元保护性看跌对冲。

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