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4

Sep 2026

英镑收复跌幅，美国非农就业数据冲击英镑兑美元；贝利讲话令降息预期承压

非农超预期引爆美元走强，英镑兑美元急挫至1.3482后修复跌幅至1.3512；贝利强调政策灵活性，压制9月加息预期，1.3550阻力凸显。

4

Sep 2026

美国数据显示整体通胀或进一步上行；英国经济增长降温之际，市场预计欧洲央行将加息，拉美走势分化

下周全球宏观聚焦：美国通胀受能源上行、核心温和，成屋销售承压；欧央行或加息25基点，英增长降温；墨通胀抬升利率暂停，巴通胀回落强化降息预期。

4

Sep 2026

美元指数跌破100关口，交易员严阵以待欧洲央行决议及美国多项关键数据集中公布

美元指数失守100后徘徊99，劳工节前交投谨慎；本周美欧英日澳密集数据与欧央行降息预期升温，汇市波动或放大，期权对冲机会凸显。

4

Sep 2026

欧元/美元在非农就业数据引发波动后反弹，美元涨势受阻，200日均线限制上行空间

非农后欧元兑美元剧烈拉锯反弹，DXY冲高回落；汇价被夹在100/200日均线间盘整。突破1.1634或指向1.17-1.18，跌破1.1564警惕下探。

4

Sep 2026

德国商业银行警示霍尔木兹海峡油流不确定性，布伦特原油静待EIA、IEA、OPEC及中国贸易数据

霍尔木兹过境数据矛盾拖累布伦特前景，方向待EIA/IEA/OPEC及中国贸易数据定夺；中国电动化抑制需求、进口回升设上限，期权隐含波动率或攀升。

4

Sep 2026

特朗普在8月非农就业数据超预期后敦促美联储加大降息力度，并将货币政策与贸易威胁挂钩

非农新增16.2万超预期，特朗普再施压美联储激进降息并以贸易中断相威胁，政策摩擦或推升波动；建议VIX看涨、SOFR期权及美元看涨/跨式对冲。

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