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7

Oct 2026

受美元走强及美联储会议纪要公布在即影响，金价徘徊在两个月低位附近

FOMC纪要前美元走强与85%加息预期施压，金价徘徊4,100美元两月低位；中东风险抬升油价与美债收益率。若失守4,100，或下探3,938，反弹受阻4,228-4,248。

7

Oct 2026

印度央行将回购利率上调至5.50%，并采取“校准式收紧”政策立场，卢比与债券收益率成市场焦点

突发：印度央行加息25基点至5.50%，立场转“校准式紧缩”，警惕油价与通胀上行；卢比波动或放大，债券收益率承压，衍生品宜加强对冲。

7

Oct 2026

墨西哥比索随美元因获利回吐走软而走强；市场静待美联储会议纪要

美元回落与美债收益率下行推升墨西哥比索，USD/MXN跌至17.97。消费信心走弱、通胀与央行纪要待揭示；技术面偏多，期权策略捕捉上测18.12。

7

Oct 2026

植田和男暗示有条件收紧政策，美元/日元维持在158；市场计入10月加息概率

日银植田释放依赖数据的再紧缩信号，美元/日元守158关口；市场仅计入10月加息25%。工资与FOMC纪要或触发重定价，警惕日方干预致急跌。

7

Oct 2026

美元指数跌破102，欧元与澳元走强，油价在美联储会议纪要公布前下跌

美元指数失守102引发做空期权机遇，风险偏好回升；欧元、英镑、澳元走强，日元宜区间策略；黄金受益走软美元，WTI跌破87需对冲。

7

Oct 2026

市场聚焦日本央行10月报告，日元走弱，期货市场计入约四分之一的加息概率

隔夜期货仅隐含日央行10月加息概率约26%，但东京核心通胀回升或促报告提前2%达标时点，叠加美日利差2.75个百分点与157支撑博弈，日元重定价在即。

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