Live Updates

12

Mar 2026

荷兰合作银行称，美国稀土库存或仅够用两个月，紧张局势下中国握有筹码

RaboResearch警告：伊朗冲突若消耗库存，美国稀土或仅撑两个月。供应掣肘行动与政策，推高升级风险；中国谈判筹码上升，稀土恐成特习核心议题。

12

Mar 2026

在接近200日均线受阻后，欧元/美元随美元走强再度下滑，暂时关注1.1500水平

欧元/美元连跌失守200日均线，美元强与美债利率升压制反弹。1.1500若破恐引新跌势，关键看1.1468/1.1391；可用看跌期权或熊市看涨价差布局。若重返1.1600-1.1672，偏空失效。

12

Mar 2026

新西兰第四季度制造业销售下滑至-0.5%，由此前增长1.1%转为负增长

制造业销售Q4转跌0.5%引爆警讯：新西兰经济或收缩、衰退风险升。通胀回落增RBNZ降息概率，纽元或走弱至0.60，股市盈利承压。

12

Mar 2026

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）莫西斯·林：油价冲击令韩元维持波动；韩国央行在区间震荡中提供支撑

油价走高叠加韩国依赖中东原油，韩元波动加剧；USD/KRW在1,420-1,500震荡。央行倾向稳汇并或平滑操作，1,500成强阻力，期权偏做空。

12

Mar 2026

在通胀数据与能源成本上升推高收益率后，交易员看好美元/瑞郎逼近0.7800，RSI呈多头信号

美元/瑞郎受美国CPI升至3.4%与油价破85美元推升美债收益率，连涨站上0.7800；上看0.7878/0.7900/0.8000，失守0.7750恐回测0.7670-0.7700甚至0.7601。

12

Mar 2026

中东冲突持续之际，澳元/纽元徘徊在1.2100附近，市场动荡推动汇价逼近13年高位

澳纽冲上13年高位1.21！中东冲突添波动，RBA加息至3.85%更鹰派；RBNZ预期转向。RSI超买，关键阻力1.2107、支撑1.2080，期权可布局续涨。

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