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12

Mar 2026

澳元兑美元升破0.7150，交易员预计澳洲联储下次会议将加息

澳元飙升！RBA升息预期升温推AUD/USD至0.7152；中东冲突抬升油价加剧通胀。关注关键支撑0.7050，失守恐削弱短线偏多走势与风险偏好。

12

Mar 2026

在美以伊紧张局势升温之际，随着油价逼近200美元且避险需求上升，美元回升

霍尔木兹海峡再起火线：伊朗封锁并袭船，警告油价或冲200美元。IEA倡释4000万桶稳价；美元走强、通胀偏高压制金价，市场聚焦关键数据。

12

Mar 2026

荷兰银行分析师称，中国面临与伊朗相关的石油与液化天然气（LNG）供应中断风险，但可借助储备、可再生能源及多元化进口缓冲

霍尔木兹若出事，中国73%进口原油恐承压：40%来自中东、10%涉伊朗。储备约80天+新能源占比升，但油价推高通胀，央行更谨慎；人民币获撑、股市波动升。

12

Mar 2026

德国商业银行的Ghose表示，在欧盟资金否决担忧及2027年极右翼挑战背景下，波兰政治不确定性或拖累兹罗提

波兰或否决欧盟国防资金法案，政治风险升温；反对党推强硬右翼总理人选。即使利率高企，兹罗提交弱。交易上可做空兹罗提、对冲克朗，并用看跌期权捕捉波动。

12

Mar 2026

油价推升通胀担忧带动美债收益率与美元走高，美国数据发布后金价小幅走低

美元与美债收益率走强压制黄金：XAU/USD跌0.37%至5170。美通胀符合预期、降息押注稳定；中东冲突推升油价与通胀忧虑，关键支撑阻力待突破。

12

Mar 2026

美伊战争紧张局势持续抑制风险偏好，欧元兑美元走弱，空头推动汇价逼近1.1500目标位

欧元兑美元走弱成新常态？避险资金涌向美元、美联储偏鹰，叠加欧洲经济疲弱与技术面偏空，EUR/USD恐续跌；关注1.1500支撑、1.1700阻力，期权布局可趁势。

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