Live Updates

7

Sep 2026

中国人民银行将美元兑人民币中间价设定得更弱，向交易员释放人民币进一步贬值风险信号

央行美元/人民币中间价报6.7795，显著弱于路透估值6.7086，释放引导偏弱信号；叠加LPR、MLF潜在调整，汇率波动或放大，衍生品对冲需求升温。

7

Sep 2026

在美伊相互打击及霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势推升原油风险溢价之际，WTI油价在90美元附近企稳

美伊冲突升级推升地缘风险溢价，WTI反弹逼近90美元阻力；霍尔木兹通行骤降至日均10艘，现货趋紧。建议期权与跨期价差对冲波动。

7

Sep 2026

美元/日元跌破156关口，市场加大对日本央行加息押注及干预传闻提振日元

美元/日元跌破156承压：BOJ加息预期与干预担忧托举日元；美非农强劲及油价推升加息押注。关注155.20支撑、PPI/CPI与短期期权波动策略。

7

Sep 2026

英镑小幅走高：美元走软叠加CPI数据观望，市场押注美联储与英国央行利率路径分化

美CPI公布前美元走弱推升GBP/USD至1.3520；强劲NFP令9月加息概率升至58.3%。建议布局跨式/宽跨式、牛市认沽价差及保护性看跌，捕捉波动并对冲逆转。

7

Sep 2026

在美联储加息预期升温、欧洲央行决议临近之际，欧元/美元守住1.1600上方

欧元/美元亚盘守稳1.1600上方，美国强劲非农推升9月加息定价至58.3%。本周四ECB料加息25bp至2.50%，隐含波动率或跃升，期权跨式布局成焦点。

7

Sep 2026

日本外汇储备8月减少796亿美元，释放日元支撑干预再度启动信号

外储惊现断崖式下滑！日本8月外汇储备降至12,075亿美元，单月消耗796亿美元，强化入市干预预期；日元空头顺风或终结，建议偏多波动率与结构性期权布局。

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