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by VT Markets
Oct 7, 2026
EUR/GBP周三延续跌势，有望在连续九个交易日下跌后录得近1.6%的累计跌幅。此前汇价反弹在0.8500附近遭遇抛压，随后被再度压回至0.8475附近，最新交投于0.8473左右，16个月低点0.8455再度进入视野。法国10年期OAT收益率周二下跌17个基点，此前玛丽娜·勒庞提出未来五年削减政府成本1,400亿欧元的计划，短暂提振欧元交叉盘，但该提振迅速消退。
随后地缘政治因素重新成为市场主线。也门胡塞武装在沙特阿拉伯发动新的袭击推升油价，布伦特原油突破100美元，进一步加大欧元区前景压力；与此同时，德国工业产出意外向好，但市场反应有限。
从技术面看，空头自9月底高点以来仍占据主导：MACD维持轻微正值，但14周期RSI报30.8，徘徊于超卖水平上方。周二在0.8493附近受阻回落，使市场焦点继续指向0.8455；下一下行参考位在0.8410附近。若汇价持续有效上破0.8500，则关注点将转向0.8527及0.8550附近阻力区域。
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