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8

Oct 2026

EIA数据显示馏分油库存意外下降，柴油和取暖油供应前景趋紧

EIA数据显示10月2日当周馏分油库存意外下降4.2万桶，较预期持平显著偏紧；季节性需求抬升或推升取暖油、原油期货，建议关注期权与价差配置。

8

Oct 2026

加元企稳，阿尔伯塔省公投临近；美元/加元维持在公允价值上方

加元在美元强势下持稳且相对抗跌；8月贸易顺差支撑基本面，但艾伯塔公投临近或放大波动。USD/CAD高于公允1.4169，关注1.4250阻力与1.4100/1.4000支撑。

8

Oct 2026

美联储会议纪要暗示或将进一步收紧货币政策，人工智能需求风险推升通胀压力，美元指数稳守102上方

美联储纪要偏鹰：9月加息25基点，多数官员指向年内再加息；AI投资或推升通胀。美元指数守102，期货定价年末加息概率高，关注CPI触发交易机会。

8

Oct 2026

由于疲软的美国就业数据未能压低美债收益率和美元，金价在接近8月低点附近企稳

非农显著不及预期亦难推升金价，长端美债收益率高企与美元强势压制反弹，金价守4,110关键位；失守或下探4,000，突破4,300或触发空头回补。

8

Oct 2026

欧元区工厂景气回升动能稳固，欧元因欧洲央行立场偏鸽及财政担忧走软

欧元区制造业复苏强劲却难撑欧元：ECB鸽派致年末利率预期下修、法国财政整固推升利差，汇率承压且波动温和；抓住窗口，配置短期限EUR/USD看跌期权。

8

Oct 2026

回测显示：在市场广度走弱与利率波动率上升之际，标普500指数接近高位时的回报趋于温和

警惕美股高位“回撤信号”重现：广度转弱、利率波动上行与信用分化共振，回测指向未来120日收益显著走低、回撤概率抬升；美元多头压制欧元。

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