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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

巴西财政部下调2026-2027年经济增长预测，紧缩政策与高债务水平构成拖累

Policy document with a pen resting on it, as if about to sign.

巴西财政部下调2026-27年GDP预期，紧货币叠加居民偿债率28.9%压制内需；外部逆风加剧。高利率更久可多DI期货，警惕BRL贬值与通胀上行。

Written on September 23, 2026 at 10:14 pm
Categories: Live Updates

巴尔警告美联储或将进一步加息，受通胀立场转鹰提振，美元指数升破101

Modern building at night with pink neon vertical lights along tall glass towers in a dark sky.

巴尔称为实现2%通胀目标或仍需进一步加息，鹰派信号推升Fed情绪指数与美元指数破101；利率上行风险重定价，建议美元多头、做空美债并对冲权益波动。

Written on September 23, 2026 at 10:14 pm
Categories: Live Updates

随着CTA多头增仓，WTI油价企稳于71美元附近；霍尔木兹海峡通行令受消息面驱动的波动性上升

WTI在地缘风险升温下仍稳于71美元，投机净多头拥挤、CTA加仓推高消息敏感度；霍尔木兹通行高增突发升级概率。期权跨式与裂解价差对冲把握波动。

Written on September 23, 2026 at 9:14 pm
Categories: Live Updates

EIA数据显示：美国原油库存增加300万桶，逆转预期去库并施压油价

Neon blue oil pump jack with a stock market chart backdrop in pink and cyan hues.

EIA当周原油库存意外增加296.9万桶，显著偏离预期减少70万桶，供需边际转松或压制近月油价；建议做空并配置看跌期权，关注WTI68美元支撑。

Written on September 23, 2026 at 8:14 pm
Categories: Live Updates

EIA数据显示汽油库存减少170万桶，随着检修季临近，提振RBOB汽油期货上行走势

EIA显示汽油库存意外去库168.6万桶，显著高于预期，凸显需求韧性；叠加炼厂检修与配方切换或收紧供给，RBOB与裂解价差存上行机会。

Written on September 23, 2026 at 8:14 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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