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Monthly Archives: September 2026

随着欧洲央行及美国通胀数据公布在即，市场对美联储降息押注升温，欧元/美元企稳于1.1600上方

Neon-lit replica of a $100 bill-shaped stack, glowing pink and blue on a dark surface.

Written on September 8, 2026 at 12:25 am, by josephine

EUR/USD守稳1.1600但上攻乏力：NFP超预期推升美联储9月加息定价至58%；欧元区增速上修与ECB加息预期提振有限，PPI/CPI或引发再波动。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元/日元跌至六个月低点，市场在美国经济数据强劲之际重新定价日本央行利率路径

Neon yen symbol beside a rising blue line chart on a dark background, implying financial growth in Japan's currency or market.

Written on September 8, 2026 at 12:24 am, by josephine

美元/日元虽受强劲非农推升美联储加息预期，仍跌破154创半年新低；市场重定价日本央行加息路径与日债收益率上行，建议逢反弹155附近做空。

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Categories: Live Updates

在新西兰联储前景及美国通胀数据影响下，纽元/美元跌破0.5880，交易员保持谨慎

Written on September 7, 2026 at 11:25 pm, by josephine

NZD/USD围绕0.5880弱势盘整，焦点转向美国CPI与RBNZ路径；非农强劲支撑美元。区间0.5872–0.5903短线操作，跨式捕捉突破，跌破0.5876用看跌期权对冲。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元/瑞郎小幅走低，美元走软、日元走强及美联储通胀考验引发市场波动

Written on September 7, 2026 at 11:24 pm, by josephine

美元承压致USD/CHF徘徊0.8091，日元走强主导；中东风险与油价推升通胀预期，CPI/PPI及FOMC前隐波或扩张，跨式/价差布局。

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Categories: Live Updates

随着抵押贷款获批量下滑且能源驱动型通胀再度回升，英国央行面临“更高利率维持更久”局面

Large 3D euro symbol glowing in purple beside rising stock charts in a neon-lit dark scene.

Written on September 7, 2026 at 10:24 pm, by josephine

按揭审批跌至2023年末低位、利率高企压制地产需求；企业信贷仍韧性。能源推升通胀或促英银加息或延长高利率，降息或拖至2027年。

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Categories: Live Updates

道明证券称加拿大央行采取偏鹰派的暂停加息立场，预计利率将维持不变直至2027年，并上调中性利率预期

3D-rendered modern building model on a reflective surface, lit in purple and blue against a dark background

Written on September 7, 2026 at 9:25 pm, by josephine

道明证券称加央行转鹰派：隔夜利率2.25%或持稳至2026年，2027年两次各25bp上调至2.75%。油价与338条关税推升通胀上行风险；建议布局CORRA、OIS及短端互换期权。

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Categories: Live Updates

荷兰银行预计欧元区经济增长将保持韧性，能源驱动型通胀反弹加剧欧洲央行收紧货币政策风险

Glowing policy document being signed with a neon pen, with a neon stock chart in the background.

Written on September 7, 2026 at 9:24 pm, by josephine

能源冲击下欧元区仍具韧性扩张，ABN AMRO上调2026增速至0.8%。通胀或突破3.5%并强化ECB鹰派，收益率上行；建议做空Bund、买入Euribor看跌，欧元偏多并配置VSTOXX对冲。

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Categories: Live Updates

德意志银行预计英国GDP在2026年初强劲增长后于7月回落，增长前景保持稳定

3D glossy euro symbol (€) with purple-pink neon glow on a dark background.

Written on September 7, 2026 at 8:25 pm, by josephine

德银预警英国7月GDP或环比-0.1%，服务业与工业拖累属短期回调；仍维持2026/27年增速1.1%/1.3%。交易：短期对冲英镑、伺机布局股指。

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Categories: Live Updates

美元关注美国CPI数据；非农就业回暖重燃美联储9月加息押注，日元强势仍存

Transparent safe with a dollar sign, set against glowing stock charts, symbolizing financial security.

Written on September 7, 2026 at 8:24 pm, by josephine

日元走强拖累美元后反弹，因8月非农稳健推升9月加息预期；市场聚焦8月CPI、PPI，研判美联储路径并左右美元短期波动。

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Categories: Live Updates

道明证券预计8月核心CPI保持平稳，受能源价格上涨及关税风险影响，整体通胀或加速升温

Futuristic scene of a transparent robotic hand signing a neon-lit policy document labeled POLICY with a chart visible in the background

Written on September 7, 2026 at 7:25 pm, by josephine

TD Securities预计8月核心CPI环比0.19%、同比2.3%，服务拉动、核心商品偏负；总体CPI环比0.37%、同比3.4%受能源推升。关税敏感品下跌假设存上行风险，建议布局SPY跨式、SOFR期权，并以VIX价外看涨对冲波动。

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Categories: Live Updates

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