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Live Updates

12

Sep 2026

美国CPI公布后，金价回升至4,300美元上方；美联储加息概率达91%

美国CPI后金价自4,300下方反弹重上100日线，挑战4,400阻力。核心通胀偏热、加息概率91%与信心骤降，或引爆议息前期权波动与对冲需求。

12

Sep 2026

美元走软逼近98.50，投机客在美联储与日本央行决议前加码空头

美元连跌逼近98.50关键支撑，空头持仓升温或引爆“急跌式”波动；焦点转向下周FOMC与日央行同周决策，期权布局短空、后续防反弹。

11

Sep 2026

贝克休斯美国石油钻机数量小幅上升，凸显钻探纪律与WTI油价稳定

美国石油钻机数微升至450座，产量仍近1,340万桶/日高位。供应预期稳、WTI趋稳，期权波动或收敛；策略宜卖价外看跌、赚权利金。

11

Sep 2026

英镑守住1.3500上方，美国CPI符合预期与英国GDP提振英镑

英镑兑美元靠稳1.35上方：美CPI符合预期、英7月GDP超预期带来韧性。期权偏多与低波动利好，建议用短期看涨或牛市价差捕捉上行。

11

Sep 2026

欧元/英镑在欧洲央行加息与英国数据强劲交织下，徘徊于0.8580附近，技术阻力仍在限制上行空间

EUR/GBP冲高0.8590后转弱回落。欧央行仅加息25基点且态度观望，英GDP与产出超预期支撑英镑。技术面受压0.8587，跌破0.8576风险升温。

11

Sep 2026

美国消费者物价指数（CPI）公布后国债收益率回落，道指反弹；市场聚焦美联储利率决议与零售销售数据

美股反弹但警报未除：道指52,600下方回升；CPI与能源推升通胀预期，美债长端回落短端偏鹰。技术受阻52,750，宜偏空、用期权对冲并布局议息波动。

11

Sep 2026

美国CPI符合预期，英镑走强；美联储加息概率上升，决议前市场趋紧

美CPI落地英镑反弹！GBP/USD先跌后回1.3524；核心通胀偏热推美联储加息概率飙至88%，波动或放大；英GDP超预期撑盘，期权建议长跨＋近1.35看涨配虚值看跌。

11

Sep 2026

美元/瑞郎维持在0.8150附近，美国通胀回升推高美联储加息概率并打压瑞郎

USD/CHF坚守0.8150并三周连涨，CPI推高联储加息概率至85%。瑞郎受SNB干预阴影与零利率拖累，套息资金转向；可用看涨期权/掉期布局。

11

Sep 2026

星展银行认为印度通胀将上升、贸易逆差将扩大，使印度央行维持鹰派立场并令卢比承压

印度通胀恐回升：DBS料升至4.9%并在财年下半年守5%上方，RBI偏鹰、降息梦碎。贸易逆差约300亿美元压卢比，建议做多USD/INR及防御性对冲。

11

Sep 2026

金价小幅走低，债券收益率与油价齐涨，强化美联储会议前加息预期

金价受美债收益率逼近5%与油价破100压制，FedWatch押注9月加息70%。聚焦美联储点阵图；建议期权跨式迎波动，守4,330支撑、破4,535转强。

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