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Live Updates

14

Sep 2026

美元/加元回落至1.3870附近，油价支撑加元企稳，静待美联储决议

油价因沙特管道停运飙升撑加元，USD/CAD止涨回落至1.3870。Fed加息预期升至87%添变数。交易者可用跨式/宽跨式或价差，盯1.3913与1.3842捕捉突破。

14

Sep 2026

随着美联储与日本央行议息临近及中东紧张局势推升美元需求，美元/日元反弹逼近154.00

USD/JPY反弹至154附近仍偏弱，聚焦9月美联储与日央行决议及中东风险。波动率料飙升，宜用跨式/宽跨式捕捉波动，严控155.2-155.3阻力与下方支撑。

14

Sep 2026

受美国核心通胀走强影响，美联储加息押注升至86%，金价下滑逼近4,340美元

通胀超预期推升加息押注至86%，金价回落至4,340美元。聚焦周三美联储：建议跨式捕捉波动；守4,330看4,460/4,680，破位恐探4,238，央行买盘托底。

14

Sep 2026

WTI回升至99美元附近，沙特管道遇袭收紧供应并令霍尔木兹谈判受挫

WTI暴跌后急弹至99.40美元：沙特东西线遇袭停运、700万桶/日受限，霍尔木兹走廊谈判搁置。供应更紧，油价或破100；期权建议短期看涨、卖虚值看跌。

14

Sep 2026

英镑守住1.3500上方，联储与英伦银行决议在即，中东局势紧张

英镑兑美元守住1.3500但方向不明：本周Fed或加息、英央行偏按兵不动，叠加霍尔木兹风险推升避险美元；关注就业/CPI与关键阻力1.3522，宜用跨式捕捉波动。

14

Sep 2026

中国人民银行将美元/人民币中间价定得更强且高于路透预估，市场权衡政策走向

人民币中间价转强至6.7698仍弱于估值，暗示央行容忍温和贬值稳出口。关注LPR与RRR动向、波动率升温；中美分化下可布局USD/CNH看涨，但慎杠杆与止损。

14

Sep 2026

受美国通胀强劲影响，美联储加息几率上升，欧元/美元下跌至1.1585

欧元/美元回落至1.1585：美国CPI偏强推升美联储加息概率至91%。尽管ECB续收紧，汇价仍受压；关注1.1555支撑与1.1628阻力，决议前波动或放大。

14

Sep 2026

霍尔木兹海峡船舶遇袭加剧中东紧张局势，引发对油价波动加剧的担忧

霍尔木兹海峡商船遇袭致死，沙特能源设施亦遭亲伊朗组织升级威胁；两大水道风险叠加，供应中断忧虑推高油价与波动率，期权对冲或成关键。

13

Sep 2026

市场屏息以待美联储、英伦银行与日本央行指引，波动性系于政策信号

三大央行议息引爆本周波动：市场盯前瞻指引胜过加息本身。聚焦技术位——纽美0.5809、欧英0.8575、美日152/148与加国通胀，风险管理要紧。

13

Sep 2026

胡塞武装夺控曼德海峡推升油价突破100美元，美国国债收益率逼近5%，市场波动加剧

胡塞收紧曼德海峡引爆油价：WTI破100美元、10年美债息逼近5%，市场押注高利率更久。金价落后、ETH走强。下周英日央行决议或触发日元套息拆仓。

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