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Live Updates

16

Jul 2026

受霍尔木兹海峡中断担忧及华盛顿对伊朗立场影响，WTI守在79美元附近，波动性预期上升

WTI回落0.9%至79美元仍近高位；霍尔木兹海峡与美伊冲突推升风险溢价。策略：短天期虚值看涨/牛差捕冲高，或跨式押讲话后双向波动。

16

Jul 2026

西班牙30年期国债收益率升至4.286%，利差扩大推高长期融资成本

西班牙30年国债拍卖收益率升至4.286%，较前轮高24.8基点，长期融资成本上扬。欧债波动加剧，Bonos-Bund利差或扩，衍生品交易可布局利差、CDS与期权对冲。

16

Jul 2026

油价推升通胀风险，美元走强与加息押注升温，金价跌破4,050美元

金价跌0.85%至4,025美元，油价坚挺推升紧缩预期与美元。PPI/CPI降温仍难抵能源通胀。技术偏空，4,000一破或看3,942/3,675；可布油call、利率期货对冲。

16

Jul 2026

英国央行布里登：中东冲击不太可能令通胀根深蒂固，英镑走软

中东战事若未升温，英国通胀或守住2%。BoE副总裁称冲击难固化、降息或更快；美元走强下GBP/USD承压，交易员可short镑或布局Sonia期货。

16

Jul 2026

美元指数在美国通胀数据走软提振美联储暂停加息押注之际，向100关口回落

美元因6月CPI、PPI偏软，核心PCE或降至3.3%，DXY再探100关口：衍生品宜布局美元走弱，买DXY近月Put、EUR/USD Call与SOFR期货，并以深度价外美元Call对冲突发鹰派。

16

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎守在0.8060附近，因市场对美联储加息押注降温且避险资金流入提供支撑

美元/瑞郎徘徊0.8060：软通胀压美元、地缘风险托底瑞郎。关键支撑0.8000/200日线0.7919，阻力0.8100。衍生品宜区间铁鹰，配少量看涨对冲突发油价通胀。

16

Jul 2026

AMD涨势接近第III浪高点，预计第IV浪回调仍有空间，随后更广泛上升趋势有望延续

AMD自187美元起涨III浪或近尾声，末端楔形暗示动能衰竭：短线或回撤15–25%至360–436。策略转向看跌价差/备兑；守稳270，逢回调布局V浪上攻。

16

Jul 2026

瑞士央行会议纪要释出政策维持不变信号，瑞郎走强令入市干预风险仍在考虑中

SNB称现行货币环境“适当”，暂无急迫行动，但更倾向外汇干预防瑞郎过强；中东风险推升避险与通胀预期。交易员可买美元/瑞郎虚值看涨，配障碍/领口对冲。

16

Jul 2026

德国商业银行：若美国银行维持按兵不动，美元走弱将决定美元/加元下行空间

加拿大因素难再压USD/CAD！德商银行指BoC按兵不动、加息预期已出清，后续下行几乎全靠美元续弱；建议用短期期权押美元跌、低波动溢价布局。

16

Jul 2026

美股期货小幅走低；中东紧张局势推升油价，零售销售与财报发布前市场谨慎

零售销售与初请揭晓前，美股期货走弱；中东战事推油价、二次通胀忧虑升温，收益率更乱。财报季与期权对冲（原油call、指数跨式/看跌）成焦点。

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