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Live Updates

17

Jul 2026

在科技股领跌引发避险情绪下美元企稳，美国数据与GDPNow支撑美元保持坚挺

科技股抛售推升避险，美元收复跌幅后趋稳反弹；零售与通胀显示美国消费仍韧性。焦点转向密歇根信心与GDPNow更新，期权策略布局多美元与波动率机会。

17

Jul 2026

在印度央行支持下，卢比走坚；油价与红海紧张局势支撑美元/印度卢比走势

RBI 出手令卢比暂稳、USD/INR 回落 96.30，但油价逼近月高与红海风险推升避险美元。策略：做多 USD/INR 动能、原油多头对冲。

17

Jul 2026

英镑跌势延续，英国领导层更迭与劳动力数据将至；通胀忧虑升温支撑美元走强

英镑受英国政权交接与美元通胀忧虑夹击，GBP/USD回落至1.3430。下周就业与CPI成爆点：守1.3380偏多，破位恐探1.3300，突破则看1.3515。

17

Jul 2026

欧元区通胀维持在2.8%，强化欧洲央行对降息保持谨慎立场

欧元区6月HICP通胀同比稳守2.8%符预期，黏性高于2%目标。欧央行或维持偏鹰、降息更少更慢；关注Euribor、Bund与欧元期权机会。

17

Jul 2026

欧元区核心通胀持稳在2.4%，令市场对欧洲央行降息押注保持渐进步伐

欧元区6月核心HICP维持2.4%符合预期，通胀黏性仍在但波动或降。交易聚焦Euribor、Bund与欧元期权：卖权利金、区间策略及温和对冲。

17

Jul 2026

欧元区6月核心HICP维持在0.2%，强化欧洲央行逐步宽松预期

欧元区6月核心HICP环比稳守0.2%，潜在通胀压力未升温。通胀企稳提升ECB政策可预测性：隐含波动率或续降，关注卖权利金、曲线走陡与欧元偏弱交易。

17

Jul 2026

WTI在79美元附近持稳，市场关注美伊紧张局势及关键技术位

WTI油价连续四日横盘，79美元附近观望美伊局势及霍尔木兹风险；技术面仍偏整理。上破80看82.48/87.25，失守77.30恐加深回调。

17

Jul 2026

富国银行预计美联储将维持利率不变直至2027年，美国国债收益率曲线温和牛市陡峭化

想押注美债下一步？富国称Fed利率3.50%–3.75%或按兵不动至2027；10年期2026近4.35%后回落。曲线料牛陡，建议2年多10年空，并用payer swaptions对冲通胀冲击。

17

Jul 2026

美元走强、油价走高强化美联储“更高更久”预期，金价仍受制于4,000美元下方

黄金冲击4,000美元无力，美元走强与油价周涨逾10%压制金价。美伊紧张推升通胀预期，市场押注12月前再加息75%。技术仍偏空，阻力4,083/4,495，支撑3,661。

17

Jul 2026

布伦特原油有望首次收盘站上85美元，中东紧张局势威胁红海航运路线

布伦特油价重返85美元关口，红海航运绕行与美伊紧张升温，供应担忧再起。通胀黏性或抬头、降息预期重定价；建议做多波动率，跨式/牛市价差对冲股市回调风险。

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