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Live Updates

17

Jul 2026

美国进口价格6月加速上涨至7.1%，推高市场对美联储“高利率更久”预期

美国6月进口价格指数按年升至7.1%掀警报，进口通胀加速或令美联储高利率更持久。策略：DXY看涨、2年期美债期货看跌、纳指100短期看跌对冲。

17

Jul 2026

美元企稳：中东局势升级、美国强劲经济数据与油价冲击风险支撑美元走势

中东战事升级+美国数据转强令美元企稳，油价若再飙或逼Fed更鹰。策略：暂停做空美元，买短期USD call；做空美债期货；布油做看涨价差，科技与亚洲股买put。

17

Jul 2026

美国出口价格通胀降温，6月指数同比上涨10.2%

美国6月出口价格指数按年升10.2%，增速较前值11.2%放缓；虽仍双位数上扬，但通胀压力降温，出口价格涨势趋缓，值得市场关注。

17

Jul 2026

美国6月营建许可下滑3%，加剧降息押注并施压房屋建筑商

美国6月建筑许可跌3%，较前值-0.7%恶化，预示开发商缩手、经济动能转弱。降息预期升温利好长债，策略：买TLT看涨、XHB看跌。

17

Jul 2026

加拿大5月外资证券投资净流入低于预期，引发对加元需求的疑虑

加拿大5月外资买加拿大证券仅79亿加元，较预期152.1亿少73.1亿，资本流入降温；加元或承压，建议USD/CAD看涨、做多加债、股市买保护性认沽。

17

Jul 2026

美国建筑许可不及预期，加剧楼市活动降温迹象

美国6月建筑许可回升至136.7万份却低于预期，住房降温信号再起。高借贷成本施压，或推升降息押注，关注TLT、SOFR、ITB期权及木材空头。

17

Jul 2026

美国新屋开工量达142.7万套，超预期提振美债收益率，利好房屋建商股及美元交易

美国6月新屋开工飙至142.7万套，远超预期，楼市韧性重燃。国债收益率或上行：可短债做空、TLT买沽；XHB买购；木材铜看多，美元偏强。

17

Jul 2026

美国进口价格6月上升，助长“利率更高更久”押注与美元走强预期

美国6月进口价格指数环比意外升0.3%（预期跌0.7%），输入型通胀再敲警钟！利率或更久维持高位：看空SOFR、买美债认沽，并布局美元与VIX。

17

Jul 2026

美国6月出口价格下跌0.6%，强化降息预期并拖累美元

意外利空：美国6月出口价格指数按月跌0.6%，差过预期0.4%。全球需求降温、通胀缓解，或为联储更早降息铺路；利率期货、长债与美元期权留意机会。

17

Jul 2026

美国新屋开工反弹引发押注收益率走高，提振房屋建筑商股，美元与铜交易走强

美国6月新屋开工月增19%强势反转，暗示通胀黏性与降息延后。策略：做空10年期国债、买XHB看涨；同时布局DXY看涨与铜多头，捕捉利率与建材行情。

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