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29

Jul 2026

欧洲股市下挫，霍尔木兹紧张局势推高油价，市场严阵以待FOMC决议

中东冲突推油价飙逾3%、全球股市转弱、韩股暴跌6%；债券收益率走高。今晚FOMC或意外加息引爆波动，期权对冲成资金新焦点。

29

Jul 2026

英镑徘徊于1.3300附近，美元在美联储与英国央行利率决议前走软

英镑守在1.3300，美元先软等待美联储决议；FedWatch押按兵不动概率69.5%。周四英银料维持3.75%。技术面受20日EMA压制，RSI44偏弱。关注Warsh谈通胀与中东风险。

29

Jul 2026

美国股指期货涨跌互现；中东紧张局势升温，市场静待美联储利率决议

中东冲突再起、沙特油设遇袭推升供给忧虑，美股期货分化；市场押注美联储按兵不动但加息概率升温，建议用利率与原油期权对冲，并布局价值多、科技空。

29

Jul 2026

希腊失业率降至8%，提振欧元前景并收窄主权债券利差

希腊6月失业率降至8%创里程碑，劳动力更紧推ECB暂缓激进降息；欧元或偏多，希德国债利差收窄，主权风险降，金融旅游ETF看涨可关注。

29

Jul 2026

美元指数料在101.80附近见顶，夏季淡静期流动性偏薄令交易员保持谨慎

美元指数成短线风向标：现货101.80、期货101.57疑似筑顶，指标转负偏空；若有效突破需改观。淡季流动性降，宜控仓，待9月回暖再搏第四季行情。

29

Jul 2026

英国M4货币供应增速6月达5%，市场上调对英伦银行鹰派立场预期

英国6月M4同比升至5%触发市场警报：流动性回流、通胀压力或再抬头，英央行料更鹰。建议做空2026年12月SONIA、看10年Gilt走高，偏好GBP/USD看涨期权。

29

Jul 2026

英国6月消费信贷激增至95亿英镑，超预期并挑战英伦银行降息押注

英国6月净贷款暴冲至95亿英镑，较预期高40亿，显示消费与房市韧性强。通胀风险或再起，BOE或更久高利率：做多GBP、做空SONIA与短债。

29

Jul 2026

英国6月抵押贷款批准量超预期，提振住房贷款与利率前景

英国6月按揭批准58.2千宗超预期，住房信贷韧性意外。市场押注降息或延后：可布局SONIA期货做空、英镑偏多；房企利润受压，买FTSE地产看跌对冲。

29

Jul 2026

意大利5月工业销售增长加速，进一步加剧欧元与欧元区债券收益率压力

意大利5月工业销售同比飙升5.3%（前值3.2%），彰显制造业需求韧性。欧元与欧债收益率或承压上行，ECB降息或更谨慎；关注EUR/USD期权与FTSEMIB波动交易。

29

Jul 2026

奥地利制造业PMI升至51.5，支撑欧元并提振ATX前景

奥地利7月制造业PMI升至51.5，扩张动能确认！中欧复苏或撑欧元、利好ATX周期股；债市收益率或上行，关注EUR/USD看涨、Bund看跌策略。

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